Coromandel International Management Guidance Tracker
47 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.
Margins
Management expects full-year manufacturing EBITDA for NPK and DAP to be in the range of INR 5,500-6,000 per ton, considering raw material prices, subsidy, and operational efficiencies.
Q2 FY24Full-year NPK EBITDA per ton of ~INR 5,000TrackedManagement expects full-year EBITDA per ton for NPK fertilizers to be around INR 5,000, supported by backward integration and potential MRP increases.
Q4 FY24Fertilizer EBITDA per ton of INR 4,500-5,000 for FY25TrackedManagement expects EBITDA per ton in the range of INR 4,500-5,000 for FY25, driven by improved NBS rates and operational efficiencies.
Q1 FY25Fertilizer segment EBITDA guidance intact at INR 4,500-5,000 per tonActiveManagement confirmed the earlier guidance for fertilizer EBITDA per ton remains unchanged despite Q1 margin pressure.
Q2 FY25Sulfuric acid cost savings of INR 160-170 crore per annumActiveStructural cost advantage from captive sulfuric acid production and power generation, expected to double from current INR 40-45 crore.
Q2 FY25EBITDA per ton guidance of INR 4,500-5,000ActiveManagement reiterated sustainable EBITDA per ton range for fertilizer business, supported by backward integration and captive intermediates.
Q4 FY25Fertilizer EBITDA per ton of INR 5,000 sustainableActiveManagement confirmed the target of INR 5,000 per ton EBITDA for the fertilizer business remains intact for FY26.
Q1 FY26Manufacturing EBITDA of ₹5,000 per tonne to sustainActiveManagement expects normative EBITDA of ₹5,000 per metric ton to sustain during FY26, despite input cost volatility.
Q2 FY26EBITDA per ton target of INR 5,500+ in H2ActiveManagement reiterated confidence in maintaining at least INR 5,500 EBITDA per metric ton in the second half, supported by operational efficiencies and backward integration benefits.
Q3 FY26Annualized EBITDA per ton target of INR 5,000-5,500 maintainedTrackedDespite raw material headwinds, management expects to sustain annualized EBITDA of INR 5,000-5,500 per ton for FY26, supported by inventory management and price hikes.
Q4 FY26Crop protection EBITDA margin to sustain ~19%ActiveManagement expects standalone crop protection EBITDA margin to remain at current levels, supported by currency depreciation and pass-through of input costs.
Growth
The Nano DAP plant in Karnataka will be commercialized in October 2023, with initial capacity of 4 million bottles per annum. The product will target northern states with high DAP usage.
Q1 FY24Specialty chemicals product introduction in Q2 FY24ActiveThe company plans to introduce specialty chemical products in the second quarter by leveraging existing assets and technical capabilities.
Q1 FY24CDMO business expected to materialize in 18 monthsTrackedManagement expects CDMO contracts to conclude and contribute within 18 months, with discussions ongoing with Japanese and European innovators.
Q3 FY24Debottlenecking to add capacityTrackedManagement is evaluating debottlenecking options at existing plants to increase capacity, with details to be shared in the next call.
Q4 FY24Nano DAP plant commissioning in June 2024ActiveThe Nano DAP plant at Kakinada with 1 crore bottle capacity is awaiting regulatory approvals and expected to start production in June 2024.
Q1 FY25Senegal processing plant commissioning by Q2 FY25ActiveNew fixed processing plant at BMCC Senegal expected to complete trial runs by end of September, stabilizing production in H2.
Q1 FY25Nano DAP to substitute 20-25% of DAP demand in 3-5 yearsTrackedManagement expects nano DAP to replace 20-25% of industry DAP consumption over the medium term, with Coromandel focusing on import-substitution states.
Q3 FY25SSP volume target of 1 million tons in two yearsTrackedAiming to reach 800,000 tons next year and 1 million tons thereafter, with 60% from value-added products.
Q1 FY26Target 5,00,000 acres drone spraying in FY26TrackedCompany plans to double drone fleet and cover 5,00,000 acres of drone spraying in the current year.
Q2 FY26Senegal rock volume scale-up to 500,000 tons next yearTrackedCurrent year target of 300,000 tons from Senegal mine; next year aim to scale to 500,000 tons with additional investments.
Q3 FY26Domestic B2C crop protection growth target of 20-25% YoYTrackedManagement targets 20-25% annual growth in domestic branded formulation business, driven by new product launches and market expansion.
Q4 FY26Senegal rock phosphate output to increase 30-40% in FY27TrackedPlanned volume increase from 3.5 lakh tons to ~4.5-4.9 lakh tons, supported by stabilized operations.
Expansion
The Nano DAP plant at Kakinada is expected to be commissioned in Q3 FY24, pending regulatory approvals, with capacity of 1 crore bottles per year.
Q3 FY24Retail store expansionActiveCompany plans to add 50 new retail stores by end of FY24, expanding footprint in new markets.
Q4 FY24Debottlenecking to add 3.5 lakh tons granulated capacityTrackedPlans to debottleneck granulated capacity at Kakinada and Vizag, adding 3.5 lakh tons.
Q1 FY25Kakinada capacity expansion by 1 million ton approvedTrackedBoard approved expansion of granulation capacity at Kakinada by 1 million ton; investment decision pending current project progress.
Q2 FY25Granulation capacity expansion to 30 lakh tonnes at KakinadaTrackedBoard approved 7.5 lakh tonne brownfield expansion, making it one of India's largest phosphate sites. Commissioning expected in ~2 years.
Q3 FY25NPK capacity expansion to 7.5 lakh tons at Kakinada by Q4 FY27TrackedNew granulation plant to be commissioned in 24 months, targeting commercial production from Q4 FY27.
Q3 FY25Phosphoric acid plant (2 lakh tons) at Kakinada by Q4 FY26TrackedOngoing project expected to be commissioned by Q4 of next fiscal year (FY26).
Q3 FY25Retail store count to double to ~1,600 by FY27TrackedCurrently at 810 stores; plan to add significantly in Q4 and next year to reach 1,500+ by FY27.
Q4 FY25NACL acquisition to close by Q2 FY26ActiveRegulatory approvals for the NACL acquisition are expected by Q2 of the current financial year.
Q3 FY26Mancozeb capacity expansion of 30%TrackedAfter a 20% debottlenecking, the company plans a further 30% capacity expansion at Sarigam to meet rising global demand.
Capex
The company plans to invest INR 1,000 crore in three multipurpose plants for crop protection, with first plant at Dahej under evaluation.
Q3 FY24Backward integration capex of ₹2,000 croreTrackedBoard approved setting up a sulfuric acid plant at Karnataka fertilizer unit and a 200,000-ton phosphoric acid plant at Kakinada, with total capex of ~₹2,000 crore.
Q4 FY24CapEx of INR 1,200-1,500 crore for FY25TrackedTotal capital expenditure for FY25 is estimated between INR 1,200 crore and INR 1,500 crore across multiple businesses.
Q2 FY25Multipurpose plant at Ankleshwar for fungicidesTrackedINR 170 crore investment for off-patent fungicide molecules; commissioning in 18 months. Targets Latin American and domestic markets.
Q4 FY25PA/SA plants commissioning in Q4 FY26TrackedThe phosphoric acid and sulfuric acid plants at Kakinada are 45% complete and on track for commissioning in the last quarter of FY26.
Q1 FY26Granulation plant commissioning in Q4 FY27TrackedThe 7.5 lakh tonne granulation project is on track and expected to be commissioned in Q4 of FY27 (Jan-Mar 2027).
Q1 FY26Backward integration plant commissioning in Q4 FY26ActiveThe phosphoric acid and sulphuric acid backward integration project is 70% complete and likely to be commissioned in Q4 of current financial year.
Q2 FY26Kakinada acid plant commissioning in JanuaryActiveMechanical completion expected in December, trial runs in January, and commercial production by second/third week of January. Plant will improve cost profile significantly.
Q3 FY26Backward integration plant commissioning in Q4 FY26ActiveThe sulfuric acid and phosphoric acid plant at Kakinada will be commissioned in Q4 FY26, expected to lift annualized EBITDA to INR 6,500 per ton.
Q4 FY26Granulation capacity expansion commissioning by December 2026TrackedProject to expand granulation capacity is on track for commissioning by December of this financial year.
Ai Strategy
Revenue
Management expects high double-digit revenue growth in crop protection for FY26, supported by new products and export demand.
Q2 FY26Crop protection revenue target of INR 5,000 crore annualizedTrackedCombined Coromandel and NACL crop protection business expected to reach INR 5,000 crore revenue on an annualized basis, positioning among top 3-4 players in India.
Q4 FY26Crop protection revenue growth of 20-25% in FY27TrackedDriven by new product launches (6 new products), capacity expansion at Dahej and Sarigam, and aggressive domestic formulation growth.