WELCORP / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Welspun Corp · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

FY27 EBITDA guidance maintained at ₹756 crore quarterly run-rate level

Management declined to increase full-year guidance despite strong Q1 performance, citing a policy of providing realistic, conservative guidance based on order book visibility rather than revising targets upward.

growth

Saudi ELSA and DI facilities commissioning by Q3 FY27

Both Saudi facilities (ELSA and DI pipes) are progressing despite minor geopolitical disruptions, with commissioning now expected by Q3 FY27 rather than the originally guided Q2 FY27.

expansion

US ELSA plant fully operational by FY27 year-end

The ELSA plant in the US is on track for commissioning by end of FY27, complementing the already operational ERW facility, providing full US product portfolio capability.

expansion

FY28 revenue and EBITDA visibility secured via order book

Order book of $2.7 billion provides clear revenue and EBITDA visibility for FY28, with management seeing FY29 discussions beginning but not yet committed.

revenue

FY26 AIA guidance maintained at Rs 2,200 crore

H1 achieved Rs 1,186 crore with confirmed order book and execution capability on track; management confident of meeting or exceeding full-year target.

revenue

US Little Rock mill fully booked till FY28

New longitudinal mill in US expected to commission by FY27-end with full utilization targeted by FY28, supported by LNG export and data center demand.

expansion

Saudi DI and LSAW plants commissioning Q4 FY26

Both Saudi facilities (DI pipe plant and longitudinal submerged arc welding mill) on track for March 2026 commissioning.

expansion

FY26 EBITDA Guidance: Rs. 2,200 crore

9-month EBITDA of Rs. 1,831 crore already achieved; company expects to comfortably exceed full-year guidance

revenue

Project Commissioning Timeline: Q2-Q4 FY27

Seven capex projects including Saudi DI greenfield, US LSAW mill, and ERW 24-inch expansion will start operating from June 2026 through December 2026

expansion

JJM Fund Revival Expected from Q1 FY27

Rs. 70,000 crore allocated in Budget 2026; audit of JM schemes completed; government committed to completing ongoing projects

revenue

Full Year FY27 Guidance in Q4 Call

Management will provide specific guidance for next financial year during Q4 FY26 earnings call as per standard practice

guidance