Cotton price volatility and spread sustainability
Current spreads of 90-95 cents may not sustain if cotton prices fall or China demand weakens; management unable to predict beyond 3 months.
Vardhman Textiles · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Current spreads of 90-95 cents may not sustain if cotton prices fall or China demand weakens; management unable to predict beyond 3 months.
Industry's request for duty-free cotton imports to ensure competitive raw material is pending government decision; if denied, cost disadvantage may return.
Fabric and garment segments face resistance to price increases; lag of 2-3 months could compress margins if yarn prices correct.
Iran-US tensions and speculative money in cotton futures could cause sudden price swings, impacting input costs and demand.