UNIONBANK / Q1-FY25 / risks

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Union Bank of India · Material risks, their source context, and severity in the latest available quarter.

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WatchQ1-FY25 · 2024-07-19Back to quarter ↗

Risk intelligence

Material risks this quarter

Persistent Credit-Deposit Gap

Industry-wide liquidity crunch where credit growth (13.9% system) outpaces deposit growth (10.6% system); RBI analysis suggests wedge may persist for 1-2 more years. Union Bank's deposit growth of 8.5% lags its 11.5% advance growth.

high

CASA Structural Slowdown

Households shifting savings from deposits to equity and small savings instruments; CASA ratio facing structural headwinds in high-rate environment. Risk of upward pressure on cost of deposits.

medium

MSME Asset Quality

MSME NPA remains elevated at ~8% despite improving from higher levels; while 50% of MSME book is micro advances with collateral, analyst raised concerns about sector-specific stress.

medium

AFS Investment Norm Impact on Treasury Income

New RBI guidelines reclassify AFS as banking book, eliminating MTM gains booking flexibility; management shifted positions to HFT but treasury income volatility may increase going forward.

low