TDPOWERSYS / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

TD Power Systems · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

FY27 Revenue: ₹2,600 crore

Full year FY27 revenue guidance raised to ₹2,600 crore with small chance of crossing this number, up from prior expectations, supported by strong order book and execution capabilities.

revenue

FY28 Capacity: ₹3,200 crore

Post ₹50 crore debottlenecking capex, capacity target for FY28 is approximately ₹3,200 crore, with potential upside if market demand warrants.

capacity

FY29-30 Expansion to ₹4,000+ crore

Management plans another round of capacity expansion for FY29-30 to push capacity beyond ₹4,000 crore, with specific investment plans to be detailed in the next earnings call (3 months).

expansion

EBITDA Margin: 18-19% band

Management maintains EBITDA margin guidance within 18-19% band, utilizing levers including pricing, cost reduction, capacity utilization, and exchange rates.

margins

FY26 Revenue: Cross 1,800 crore

Management stated confidence to cross 1,800 crore for full year FY26 based on current quarterly run-rate of approximately 600 crore.

revenue

FY27 Revenue: 2,200+ crore (conservative)

Upward guidance of 2,200+ crore for FY27, based on quarterly inflow of 575-600 crore with high probability of further upward revision.

revenue

Q4 Production Target: 550-575 crore

Q4 production and sales targeted at 550-575 crore per quarter, with ramping to 600 crore per quarter from Q1 FY27 onwards.

growth

Capacity Ceiling: 2,600-2,800 crore till FY28

No bulk capacity additions planned till FY28; maximum revenue potential of 2,600-2,800 crore with existing assets before new investment decision next year.

capacity

FY27 revenue target: ₹2,400+ crore

Management revised FY27 guidance upward with "extremely high probability" to increase further, driven by Q4 order inflow momentum and strong execution pipeline.

revenue

FY28 capacity ceiling: ₹3,200 crore

With ₹100 crore total debottlenecking capex over FY27-28, current facilities can address up to ₹3,200 crore revenue, covering sales projections through FY28.

capacity

Large generator ramp-up: Calendar 2028

Capacity for 200 MW range large generators will be operational by late calendar 2027 (15-16 month equipment lead times), with big ramp-up expected in calendar 2028.

expansion

Margins: Back to historical levels

Gross contribution margins expected to revert to historical 33-34% average, excluding the one-off Turkey contract impact (~3% hit in Q4).

margins