TCS / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

TCS · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Aspirational margin band of 26%-28%

Management reiterated the long-term margin aspiration but declined to provide a timeline for achievement, citing macro uncertainty.

margins

Fresher hiring target of 40,000 for FY24

The company plans to hire 40,000 freshers in FY24, though the quarterly spread remains uncertain due to demand softness.

growth

GenAI revenue materialization in 2-3 quarters

Management expects GenAI engagements to start contributing meaningfully to revenue in a couple of quarters.

ai_strategy

FY25 better than FY24

Management reiterated that FY25 will be better than FY24 in terms of revenue growth, but declined to provide specific numbers.

growth

Operating margin aspirational band of 26-28%

CFO Samir Seksaria reaffirmed commitment to the 26-28% operating margin band, with levers including productivity, utilization, and pricing.

margins

Campus hiring target of ~40,000 trainees

CHRO Milind Lakkad indicated that the company aims to hire close to 40,000 trainees in FY25, consistent with historical practice.

other

International revenue to improve in FY26 vs FY25

Management expects constant currency international revenue to be better in FY26 than FY25, though overall growth aspiration remains high.

revenue

Q2 revenue likely better than Q1 if no further delays

CEO stated Q2 should be at least better than Q1 if no additional project delays occur.

revenue

Margin improvement levers: utilization, productivity, pyramid

CFO cited improving utilization, productivity, and pyramid as key levers to improve margins from current levels.

margins

Margin guidance maintained at 26%-28%

Management reiterated the long-term operating margin range of 26%-28%, with no specific timeline for achievement.

margins

Deal win run-rate raised to $9-10B per quarter

COO NGS indicated the new normal for quarterly deal wins is around $9-10 billion, up from the earlier $7-9 billion range.

growth

BSNL 4G/5G rollout target in 12-18 months

Management expects to complete the BSNL network rollout within 12 to 18 months from Q2 FY24.

expansion

Fresher hiring to continue; all offers honored

TCS will continue campus hiring and honor all offers, though onboarding may be delayed by a quarter.

other

Life sciences headwinds to stabilize in Q3, return to growth in Q4

Client-specific headwinds in life sciences and healthcare are expected to stabilize in Q3 and return to growth in Q4.

growth

BSNL deal peak revenue to continue for one more quarter, then taper

The BSNL transformational program is at peak revenue; expected to remain at similar levels for one more quarter before tapering.

revenue

Margin aspiration to exit Q4 at 26%

Management aspires to exit Q4 FY25 at 26% operating margin, similar to Q4 FY24 exit.

margins

Growth markets as long-term growth driver

TCS is investing significantly in India, APAC, Latin America, and Middle East & Africa as sustainable long-term growth drivers.

expansion

FY26 international revenue growth better than FY25

Management expects constant currency international revenue growth for FY26 to exceed the ~70bps achieved in FY25.

revenue

Operating margin aspirational band of 26%-28%

CFO reiterated the goal to return to the aspirational margin band of 26%-28%, with continued improvement expected.

margins

AI data center subsidiary with 1 GW capacity over 5-7 years

Board approved creation of a subsidiary to build a sovereign AI data center in India, with capacity up to 1 GW, phased over 5-7 years at ~$1B per 150 MW.

capex

Continued workforce release of ~2% mid-senior level

CHRO indicated that the planned release of ~2% of mid-to-senior workforce with skill mismatch is halfway done; further releases may continue.

other

BFSI growth expected from Q4

Management expects BFSI to bottom out and grow from the coming quarter, driven by deal wins and seasonal bounce-back.

growth

India growth momentum to continue over 4-6 quarters

BSNL deal will contribute over the next 4-6 quarters, with momentum picking up quarter on quarter.

growth

Margin improvement momentum to continue

CFO stated that levers like productivity, utilization, and subcontractor costs offer further scope for improvement, though no specific target given.

margins

Fresher hiring of 40,000 for FY24 still on track

CHRO reaffirmed the plan to onboard 40,000 freshers in FY24, with hiring progressing as per schedule.

other

Margin aspiration of 26% by Q4 FY25

Management aims to exit Q4 at 26% operating margin, within the 26%-28% aspirational band, driven by operating efficiencies and BSNL tapering.

margins

BSNL revenue to taper from Q4 FY25 through Q2 FY26

The BSNL contract is 70% complete; revenue will start tapering in Q4 and may extend to Q2 FY26. Management expects to replace most of it via other opportunities.

revenue

CY25 to be better than CY24 for international business

Management expects stronger growth in CY25 vs CY24, driven by early discretionary recovery and strong deal pipeline, despite BSNL headwinds.

growth

Increased campus hiring next year

Preparations underway to onboard a higher number of campus hires next fiscal year, signaling confidence in future demand.

other

International revenue growth aspiration for FY26

Management aims to deliver higher international revenue growth in FY26 compared to FY25, with optimism for Q4.

revenue

Operating margin target of 26%-28% band

CFO stated efforts to inch closer to the traditional 26%-28% margin band, with 26% as near-term goal.

margins

AI services revenue growth trajectory

AI services revenue expected to continue growing at a strong rate, with $1.8B annualized in Q3.

growth

Data center revenue timeline

Revenue from AI data center build-out expected to start ~18 months after anchor customer announcement.

capex

FY25 growth expected to be better than FY24

Management stated that based on strong TCV, FY25 should be better than FY24, but did not provide specific numbers.

revenue

Operating margin trajectory similar to FY24

CFO indicated Q1 will see headwinds from wage hikes, with margins clawing back through the year, similar to FY24 pattern.

margins

Pricing improvements to drive incremental margins

CFO noted that incremental margins will need to come from pricing improvements, including renewals and new deals at higher prices.

margins

FY26 revenue growth expected to be better than FY25

Management believes FY26 will be better than FY25 based on order book and customer discussions, assuming short-lived uncertainty.

revenue

Operating margin target range of 26%-28% remains

CFO reiterated the 26%-28% margin beacon, with levers like pyramid, utilization, and productivity expected to help achieve it, though timeline uncertain.

margins

Campus hiring of 40,000+ trainees in FY26

CHRO confirmed campus hiring will be similar or slightly higher than FY25's 42,000, with wage hike timing dependent on clarity.

growth

CapEx to remain elevated at ~₹5,000 crore

CFO stated no plans to scale down investments in talent, innovation, infrastructure, or partnerships despite uncertainty.

capex

FY27 growth: normal first-half seasonality, no quantified target

Management expects FY27 to start with a normal Q1/Q2 seasonal pattern and is positive on international growth, but refused to quantify growth.

growth

AI revenue expected to outrun traditional-services taper

AI revenue is expected to grow faster and eventually overcompensate for tapering traditional services revenue, but management could not predict the timing.

ai_strategy

Wage hikes: 150-200 bps margin headwind expected

Wage hikes are expected to create a 150-200 bps margin headwind in the next quarter.

margins

Medium-term margin aspiration: 26-28%

Longer term, management wants margins to move toward 26-28%, while continuing investment in build, partner, and acquire initiatives.

margins