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Revenue
₹18,819 Cr
verified against source
Revenue YoY
2.7%
reported change
EBITDA
Pending
latest reported figure
Source
screener in
record provenance
Actual signal trajectory
Where this quarter sits.
Quarter read
What the record says.
Tata Motors reported a mixed Q3 FY25. Consolidated revenue grew 2.7% YoY and EBIT improved 60 bps, driven by strong JLR performance (highest Q3 revenue at GBP 7.5B, EBIT 9%) and cost savings in CV/PV. However, JLR faces headwinds from China weakness (wholesale mix down to 9% from 15%), rising warranty costs, and VME pressure. India CV revenue fell 8.4% YoY but margins improved 130 bps on cost cuts and PLI benefits. PV segment saw EBITDA margins of 7.8% (150 bps PLI impact), with EV margins turning positive ex-PLI at 1.7%. Management guided for a strong Q4 to meet JLR's full-year EBIT and cash targets, while India demand is expected to improve gradually. Key risks include prolonged China weakness, rising emissions costs, and competitive intensity in EVs.
Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.
Guidance to track
- Requires Q4 EBIT >10% and cash generation of $1.143B. Management expressed confidence but noted it's tough.
- Contingent on government stimulus and macroeconomic improvement; FY25 expected to be flattish at ~2% growth.
- First BEV on MLA architecture; followed by EMA-based BEV in mid-2026 and new Jaguar in late summer 2026.
- Based on improving utilization, customer sentiment, and diesel consumption; sets base for next year.
Risks flagged
- JLR's China wholesale mix fell to 9% from 15% YoY; management uncertain if cyclical or structural.
- Significant warranty charge in Q3; cost per repair increasing despite falling repair counts.
- If UK/US regulations don't ease, emissions costs will increase next year; management in discussions but no certainty.
- Multiple new EV launches above INR 18 lakh could temporarily impact Tata's market share; management acknowledged hiccup.
Key quotes
- We are holding full-year guidance for EBIT margin and net cash positive. It does mean we need a stellar Q4, but seasonality is always strong for us in Q4.
- The question on market share in EVs is probably less relevant at this stage. Penetration of EVs in the overall... the game is against how do you upgrade customers from ICE into EVs.
- We are in that period at the moment where you have no choice but to be investing in parallel in ICE, in PHEV, potentially in REEV, and in BEV. The longer that period extends, the more difficult it is to make investment decisions.
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