SURYAROSNI Q3 FY26 earnings call.
A source-linked concall view: reported numbers, management language, guidance, commitments and risks that should carry forward.
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Revenue
₹1,927 Cr
verified against source
Revenue YoY
3%
reported change
EBITDA
₹148 Cr
latest reported figure
Source
screener in
record provenance
Actual signal trajectory
Where this quarter sits.
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What the record says.
Surya Roshni delivered mixed Q3 FY26 results with consolidated revenue of ₹2,927 crore (up 3% YoY) but EBITDA margin contraction to 7.7% versus 8.5% year-ago due to steel price volatility and API segment weakness. Steel division volumes missed guidance at 2.37 lakh tons (shortfall of ~10-15% vs ambition) primarily due to 35% API volume decline from oil & gas sector weakness, though inventory losses of ~₹12 crore and ₹89 crore impact from API degrowth hurt EBITDA. Lighting segment performed better at ₹476 crore revenue (+6% YoY, +10% QoQ) driven by festive demand and LED volume growth. Management maintained full-year volume guidance of 9.35-9.40 lakh tons but faces execution risk in Q4 given Q1 SAP issues and Q3 steel headwinds. Forward guidance appears optimistic with FY27 targets of 11 lakh tons steel volumes and ₹750 crore combined EBITDA, contingent on government infrastructure spending, Jal Jeevan Mission revival, and successful ERW pipe penetration in oil & gas. Key concerns include persistent EBITDA margin pressure, market share questions from analysts, and shareholder returns via buyback/de-merger requests. Working capital efficiency improved (61 days cycle) with net cash surplus of ₹250 crore providing balance sheet flexibility for capex and potential capital return.
Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.
Guidance to track
- Management maintained volume guidance despite Q3 shortfall, projecting Q4 volumes of 2.0-2.3 lakh tons driven by restocking momentum from December 2025 and consistent record-breaking dispatches in January-February.
- Management committed to minimum 11 lakh tons for FY27, implying ~17-18% volume growth, contingent on infrastructure spending revival and API segment recovery.
- Management guided ₹5,000/ton EBITDA floor for FY27 full year, generating ₹540-550 crore EBITDA from steel division alone, versus ~₹480 crore estimated for FY26.
- Lighting and consumer durables expected to cross ₹2,100 crore turnover next fiscal year with ₹200 crore EBITDA, driven by wire launches and professional lighting expansion.
- Management provided assurance to shareholders of ₹750 crore combined EBITDA target for FY27, up from estimated ₹580-600 crore for FY26, enabling potential capital returns.
Risks flagged
- Oil & gas sector API pipe volumes declined 35% YoY in Q3, impacting ~₹89 crore of steel EBITDA. While management expects Q1 FY27 recovery with Jal Jeevan Mission tenders, the timing remains uncertain and analyst questioned whether weakness extends 2-3 quarters.
- Analyst raised concern that EBITDA has been flat for 3 years and management has consistently missed guidance targets. Steel EBITDA margin at ~₹4,800-4,900/ton is below historical levels, with management acknowledging headwinds from HR coil pricing and selective order avoidance.
- ~10,000 tons annually of European exports face disadvantage from CBAM; management offsetting via Middle East and Africa expansion but incremental costs remain. Analyst also raised green steel certification as potential mitigation requiring renewable energy adoption.
- Multiple analysts pressed on shareholder returns via buyback or de-merger given accumulated cash surplus and zero-debt status. Management acknowledged suggestions as valid but provided only verbal commitment to interim dividends and board discussions without concrete timeline.
Key quotes
- We are a zero debt company with a net cash surplus of ₹250 crore and we will try to ensure shareholders get advantage through interim dividends
- Minimum ₹5,000 per ton EBITDA full year FY27 and ₹540-550 crore EBITDA from steel division alone — this is a commitment we want to give to investors
- We are the first company in India whose ERW pipe has been approved by ONGC for seamless pipe replacement — this is a very big silver lining for Surya Roshni in terms of both volume and margins
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