Surya Roshni / Q3-FY26

SURYAROSNI Q3 FY26 earnings call.

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Revenue

₹1,927 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

3%

reported change

EBITDA

₹148 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

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EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
2 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q3 FY26: 148 · Watch source sentimentQ3 FY26Q4 FY26: 541 · Watch source sentimentQ4 FY26541148
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

Surya Roshni delivered mixed Q3 FY26 results with consolidated revenue of ₹2,927 crore (up 3% YoY) but EBITDA margin contraction to 7.7% versus 8.5% year-ago due to steel price volatility and API segment weakness. Steel division volumes missed guidance at 2.37 lakh tons (shortfall of ~10-15% vs ambition) primarily due to 35% API volume decline from oil & gas sector weakness, though inventory losses of ~₹12 crore and ₹89 crore impact from API degrowth hurt EBITDA. Lighting segment performed better at ₹476 crore revenue (+6% YoY, +10% QoQ) driven by festive demand and LED volume growth. Management maintained full-year volume guidance of 9.35-9.40 lakh tons but faces execution risk in Q4 given Q1 SAP issues and Q3 steel headwinds. Forward guidance appears optimistic with FY27 targets of 11 lakh tons steel volumes and ₹750 crore combined EBITDA, contingent on government infrastructure spending, Jal Jeevan Mission revival, and successful ERW pipe penetration in oil & gas. Key concerns include persistent EBITDA margin pressure, market share questions from analysts, and shareholder returns via buyback/de-merger requests. Working capital efficiency improved (61 days cycle) with net cash surplus of ₹250 crore providing balance sheet flexibility for capex and potential capital return.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • Management maintained volume guidance despite Q3 shortfall, projecting Q4 volumes of 2.0-2.3 lakh tons driven by restocking momentum from December 2025 and consistent record-breaking dispatches in January-February.
  • Management committed to minimum 11 lakh tons for FY27, implying ~17-18% volume growth, contingent on infrastructure spending revival and API segment recovery.
  • Management guided ₹5,000/ton EBITDA floor for FY27 full year, generating ₹540-550 crore EBITDA from steel division alone, versus ~₹480 crore estimated for FY26.
  • Lighting and consumer durables expected to cross ₹2,100 crore turnover next fiscal year with ₹200 crore EBITDA, driven by wire launches and professional lighting expansion.
  • Management provided assurance to shareholders of ₹750 crore combined EBITDA target for FY27, up from estimated ₹580-600 crore for FY26, enabling potential capital returns.

Risks flagged

  • Oil & gas sector API pipe volumes declined 35% YoY in Q3, impacting ~₹89 crore of steel EBITDA. While management expects Q1 FY27 recovery with Jal Jeevan Mission tenders, the timing remains uncertain and analyst questioned whether weakness extends 2-3 quarters.
  • Analyst raised concern that EBITDA has been flat for 3 years and management has consistently missed guidance targets. Steel EBITDA margin at ~₹4,800-4,900/ton is below historical levels, with management acknowledging headwinds from HR coil pricing and selective order avoidance.
  • ~10,000 tons annually of European exports face disadvantage from CBAM; management offsetting via Middle East and Africa expansion but incremental costs remain. Analyst also raised green steel certification as potential mitigation requiring renewable energy adoption.
  • Multiple analysts pressed on shareholder returns via buyback or de-merger given accumulated cash surplus and zero-debt status. Management acknowledged suggestions as valid but provided only verbal commitment to interim dividends and board discussions without concrete timeline.

Key quotes

  • We are a zero debt company with a net cash surplus of ₹250 crore and we will try to ensure shareholders get advantage through interim dividends
  • Minimum ₹5,000 per ton EBITDA full year FY27 and ₹540-550 crore EBITDA from steel division alone — this is a commitment we want to give to investors
  • We are the first company in India whose ERW pipe has been approved by ONGC for seamless pipe replacement — this is a very big silver lining for Surya Roshni in terms of both volume and margins

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