SRF / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

SRF · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

Geopolitical disruption in Middle East

Sales into the Middle East were impacted in Q4 due to geopolitical tensions, though management rerouted shipments to other markets.

medium

Forex mark-to-market losses

Sharp rupee depreciation led to mark-to-market losses on forward hedges, impacting FY26 results and expected to persist near-term.

medium

Pricing pressure from Chinese competition in specialty chemicals

Aggressive Chinese pricing has compressed margins in specialty chemicals; management expects normalization but timing uncertain.

high

HCFC quota uncertainty

Government has not clarified whether HCFC production will be included in baseline quota calculations, creating regulatory risk for HFC capacity expansion.

medium