Intense price competition in southern cement market
Southern India faces overcapacity and aggressive pricing by large players, compressing margins for all producers.
Shri Keshav Cements · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Southern India faces overcapacity and aggressive pricing by large players, compressing margins for all producers.
Company is 100% dependent on petcoke/coal; alternative fuel (AFR) adoption is 2-3 quarters away, leaving it exposed to fuel price spikes.
Despite strong volume growth, utilization remains at 31% due to market headwinds; slower-than-expected ramp-up could delay profitability targets.
Solar regulatory benefits for plants commissioned in 2018 will expire in 3-7 years; future charges could reduce cost advantage.