SHK / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

S H Kelkar and Company · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

12% Revenue CAGR Target

Management reaffirmed 12% year-on-year revenue growth target from FY25 base, expecting FY27 to grow faster than 12% as new markets scale.

revenue

17% EBITDA Margin in 2 Years

Adjusted EBITDA margin expected to improve from current 13% to 17% over next two years through operating leverage and new facility stabilization.

margins

14% ROC by FY29

Return on Capital Employed projected to reach 14% by FY29 as international investments (Europe, US, UK) mature and generate cash flows after 3-year gestation.

other

Peak OPEX Reached

Fixed operating costs for new initiatives have peaked in dollar/euro terms; INR costs may fluctuate with currency but no major additions expected.

expansion

FY27 EBITDA target of Rs 300+ crore

Management expressed confidence in recovering to FY25 EBITDA levels of Rs 300 crore+ in FY27, with strong first-half visibility and positive momentum from portfolio optimization and European capacity addition.

revenue

Q1-Q2 Adjusted EBITDA margin maintenance at 13%+

Management is confident of maintaining adjusted EBITDA margin at current 13% levels through first half of FY27, supported by secured raw material inventory and confirmed price increases from large global accounts.

margins

FY27 Capex guidance of Rs 140 crore

Capital expenditure for FY27 expected at Rs 140 crore, front-loaded in first two quarters for completion of Wasuli facility and Vasuli factory commissioning, with Almare factory already operational.

capex

Debt reduction target of 10% annually

Management targets 10% annual debt reduction from current Rs 850 crore levels, though acknowledges potential near-term increase due to insurance receivables timing and inventory buildup for supply security.

other