12% Revenue CAGR Target
Management reaffirmed 12% year-on-year revenue growth target from FY25 base, expecting FY27 to grow faster than 12% as new markets scale.
S H Kelkar and Company · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.
Guidance tracker
Management reaffirmed 12% year-on-year revenue growth target from FY25 base, expecting FY27 to grow faster than 12% as new markets scale.
Adjusted EBITDA margin expected to improve from current 13% to 17% over next two years through operating leverage and new facility stabilization.
Return on Capital Employed projected to reach 14% by FY29 as international investments (Europe, US, UK) mature and generate cash flows after 3-year gestation.
Fixed operating costs for new initiatives have peaked in dollar/euro terms; INR costs may fluctuate with currency but no major additions expected.
Management expressed confidence in recovering to FY25 EBITDA levels of Rs 300 crore+ in FY27, with strong first-half visibility and positive momentum from portfolio optimization and European capacity addition.
Management is confident of maintaining adjusted EBITDA margin at current 13% levels through first half of FY27, supported by secured raw material inventory and confirmed price increases from large global accounts.
Capital expenditure for FY27 expected at Rs 140 crore, front-loaded in first two quarters for completion of Wasuli facility and Vasuli factory commissioning, with Almare factory already operational.
Management targets 10% annual debt reduction from current Rs 850 crore levels, though acknowledges potential near-term increase due to insurance receivables timing and inventory buildup for supply security.