Sustained Pricing Compression in SMS and RCS
Revenue per transaction fell 14% YoY; RCS pricing may commoditize further if operators do not set floor pricing, pressuring blended realizations.
Route Mobile · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Revenue per transaction fell 14% YoY; RCS pricing may commoditize further if operators do not set floor pricing, pressuring blended realizations.
New products (RCS, WhatsApp, AI) contribute only 8% of revenue; growth moderated to 11% YoY, insufficient to offset legacy SMS decline in near term.
Cash balance of ~₹1,400 Cr (~40% of market cap) with no large M&A announced; risk of persistent low return on excess cash if deals don't materialize.