RELIANCE / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Reliance · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Pan-India 5G rollout completion by December 2023

Management confirmed the 5G rollout is ahead of schedule and will be completed before end of calendar year 2023.

expansion

KG-D6 gas production target of 30 MMSCMD in FY24

Production is ramping up and expected to reach 30 million standard cubic meters per day during FY24.

growth

JioBharat device deployment of 1 million units

Initial deployment of about a million JioBharat devices through own offering and OEM partners to target 2G-to-4G migration.

growth

Home broadband target of 100 million homes

Accelerating home broadband ambitions to connect 100 million homes in the quickest possible timeframe using JioFiber and JioAirFiber.

expansion

Tariff hike benefits from July 2024

Jio implemented tariff increases of 13-25% from July 3, 2024, expected to improve ARPU and revenue in coming quarters.

revenue

CBM production ramp-up

40-well multilateral program to add 0.5 MMSCMD of gas by year-end, with 21 wells already completed.

growth

Retail margin improvement focus

Streamlining operations and tech investments expected to sustain margin improvement; EBITDA margin up 30 bps YoY.

margins

Double value by end of golden decade

Management reiterated confidence in doubling the company's value by the end of the golden decade, as stated by the Chairman in 2022 and 2024 AGM.

growth

New energy ecosystem operational in 4-6 quarters

The entire new energy ecosystem, including manufacturing and generation, will be operationalized on a full-scale basis in the next four to six quarters.

expansion

Retail EBITDA doubling every 3-4 years

Chairman's vision of doubling retail business every three to four years remains on track, with acceleration expected in coming quarters.

growth

55 compressed biogas plants by end of year

Target to achieve 55 compressed biogas plants by the end of this calendar year, with construction in full swing.

expansion

5G rollout completion by end of FY24

Management expects the fast-track 5G rollout to be completed by end of this year, with CapEx peaking in FY24.

capex

KG-D6 production target of 30 MMSCMD

KG-D6 gas production is on track to reach 30 million standard cubic meters per day, representing ~30% of India's gas output.

growth

Jio AirFiber to accelerate home broadband

AirFiber fixed wireless service is being rolled out across India, targeting north of 100 million premises rapidly.

expansion

Retail EBITDA margin expansion expected

Retail EBITDA margin improved 70 bps YoY to 8.1%, with operating leverage expected to drive further gains.

margins

Jio AirFiber to add 1 million homes per month

Management targets adding approximately one million Jio AirFiber connections every month, up from current run rate.

growth

Retail growth momentum to normalize in 2-3 quarters

Retail expects to revert to industry-leading growth after streamlining operations and B2B recalibration over the next couple of quarters.

growth

JioAI Cloud beta launch imminent

JioAI Cloud offering 100GB+ free storage with AI features to launch beta soon, followed by commercial services.

ai_strategy

Jio home connections to ramp up significantly

Management expects to scale monthly home connections beyond the current 1 million run rate, driven by wireless broadband technology.

growth

New Energy RE/RTC power generation from next year

First renewable energy round-the-clock power plants in Kutch will start generating power in H1 FY27, initially for captive use.

expansion

PVC project completion by end of calendar 2026

The large PVC project, including caustic chlorine and EDC/VCM/PVC units across two sites, is targeted for completion by end of 2026.

capex

Jio EBITDA margin expansion to continue

Jio's EBITDA margin expanded to 56.1% in Q2, and management expects operating leverage to drive further margin improvement.

margins

O2C margins to remain volatile but refining margins constructive

Management expects refining margins to remain favorable due to strong demand for jet fuel and gasoil, but downstream chemical margins pressured by global oversupply.

margins

Retail margin expansion to continue via operating leverage

EBITDA margin improved 40 bps YoY to 8.1%; management expects further expansion as infrastructure investments pay off.

margins

Capex moderation to continue

Q3 capex at INR 30,000 crore, down from INR 39,000 crore in Q2; cash profits now exceed capex, supporting deleveraging.

capex

New energy facilities to commence in phases from end of FY24

On track to start new energy production facilities in phases starting end of this fiscal year.

expansion

Jio ARPU growth to sustain

Full impact of July 2024 tariff hike still playing out; ARPU growth expected to continue in coming quarters.

revenue

Retail to show healthy sequential growth

Management expects healthy quarter-on-quarter growth driven by operational improvements and festive momentum.

growth

O2C investment in downcycle

Investing in PVC, polyester, and ethane capacity at bottom of cycle to capture high-growth domestic demand.

capex

Jio AI Cloud and Cloud PC launch

Beta launched; scaling to all Jio customers in coming quarter; new revenue stream from digital services.

ai_strategy

New energy solar manufacturing to commission 10 GW integrated capacity this year

First phase of 10 GW peak annual solar manufacturing (ingot, wafer, cell, module) to be fully commissioned and ramped up during the current year, with expansion to 20 GW underway.

expansion

First renewable generation capacity to come online in 12-15 months

Kutch solar generation (round-the-clock power) will start delivering electricity within 12-15 months, with annual installation of 20 GW peak solar.

expansion

Jio IPO imminent, awaiting final government notification

Jio Platforms IPO is being worked on internally; final details depend on government notification expected in next few months.

other

KG-D6 incremental production of 4-5 mmscmd in a few years

Incremental development plan approved by government to add 4-5 million standard cubic meters per day of production.

growth

Capex to remain below cash profits

Management indicated capex intensity is lower and will be below cash profits, with net debt/EBITDA at 0.65x.

capex

Jio 5G monetization runway

30% of data traffic on 5G is currently free; monetization offers a larger growth runway.

revenue

Jio 5G monetization via network slicing

Management plans to offer differentiated services (e.g., network slicing) to enterprises and premium consumers over the next few quarters, aiming to drive incremental ARPU.

ai_strategy

Retail fashion turnaround complete

Fashion business has turned around with positive LFL growth; design-to-shelf cycle reduced to 30 days with weekly store refreshes.

growth

New energy solar and battery commissioning by 2026

Solar manufacturing (polysilicon to module) and battery cell production to be commissioned by end-2025/early 2026; 10 GW solar capacity scalable to 20 GW.

capex

Jio home broadband target of 100M homes

Jio aims to connect 100 million homes using AirFiber (fixed wireless) and fiber; 85% market share in FWA net adds.

expansion

Jio IPO imminent

IPO work is largely done; announcement expected in coming days.

other

Jio to continue gaining market share

Expect subscriber growth and ARPU improvement from organic levers and 5G differentiation.

growth

Retail square footage to grow mid-single digit

Store footprint expansion will continue, especially in tier 2+ cities.

expansion

Gigawatt-scale AI data centers progressing

Work on captive and partner data centers ongoing; gigawatt-scale centers to update in coming quarters.

ai_strategy