REFEX / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Refex Industries · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Sustainable EBITDA margin: 11-12%

Management expects EBITDA margins to stabilize between 11-12% going forward, though Q3 FY26 delivered 16.1% due to favorable contract execution mix.

margins

Wind business to contribute significantly by FY26 year-end

First turbine deliveries commence February 15 with continuous monthly deliveries thereafter. Wind business positioned as 'crown jewel' with ₹860 crore order book.

revenue

Griffix demerger completion by April 2026

Mobility demerger progressing with NOC from lenders pending. Post-demerger, Refex Industries will be 95% focused on ash/coal handling with 5% wind.

expansion

Promoter pledge reduction over 6 months

Current promoter pledge at 25-26% of holdings to be substantially reduced over next 6 months. Margin call was serviced from own sources.

other

Double-digit revenue growth for FY27 in ash and coal handling

Management targets continued growth in core ash and coal handling business, building on the 28% organic growth achieved in FY26, with volume ramp-up from 70,000 to 95,000 tons/day.

revenue

EBITDA margins sustainably in 15-18% range

Q4's 20.1% margin reflects favorable service mix and is sustainable; management guides FY27 margins to remain between 15-18%, supported by operational efficiency and technology adoption.

margins

Wind execution of ₹1,500 crore order book in FY27

With 1,860 crore in orders and 238 crore already executed in FY26, management commits to completing the balance 1,500+ crore in FY27 plus any new orders finalized.

revenue

Mobility demerger completion in 60-75 days

NCLT process on track with court reopening June 1; all regulatory approvals (BCC, NCL) secured; management expects demerger completion within 90 days (by August 2026).

expansion