RECLTD / Q2-FY25 / risks

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Risk intelligence

Material risks this quarter

Azure Renewable Energy Lending Concerns

Analyst raised whistleblower issues and CEO changes at Azure. Management clarified only financing commissioned projects with A-rated assets and DSCR of 1.3x, excluding any greenfield exposure. However, ongoing monitoring of developments was acknowledged.

medium

TANGEDCO Trifurcation Execution Risk

Analyst questioned guarantee structures post-trifurcation of TANGEDCO into generation, distribution, and renewable entities. Management confirmed all three entities are now functional with government guarantees maintained, and exposure limits are comfortable.

medium

Stage 1/2 ECL Provisioning Declining with Growing Renewable Book

Stage 1/2 provisions on private sector renewable and generation book declined from 100+ bps to 60 bps while the book is growing. Management attributed this to projects achieving COD (reducing provisions by 40bps) and improved PD assumptions, but this creates model risk if asset quality deteriorates.

low

Andhra Pradesh Utility Overdue Resolution

Management acknowledged improvement in Andhra Pradesh utility payments with good payments in October, expecting complete normalcy by December. However, the recovery was slower than anticipated and provisioning reversal of >INR 100 crore will only materialize in Q3/Q4.

low