RBA / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Restaurant Brands Asia · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Store expansion: 60-80 net additions annually through FY29

Currently at 533 India stores; targeting 580 by FY26 year-end with H2 pace of 45-50 openings. Near-term goal of 800 stores by FY29.

expansion

Gross margin trajectory to 70% by FY29

Gross margin improved to 68.3% in Q2 from 67.7% in Q1. Management expects continued improvement driven by supply chain localization, new distribution centers, and boiler efficiency gains.

margins

Utility cost reduction of ~1 percentage point

New boiler (50% energy reduction vs current) rolling out to all restaurants by March/April 2026; e-coolers also being installed. Full impact expected in FY27.

cost

Delivery margin improvement of 1 percentage point achieved

Delivery business grew revenue significantly while improving margins by 1pp through aggregator relationship optimization and menu mix changes.

margins

600 Restaurants by March 2026

Management targets approximately 600 restaurants by March 31, 2026, implying roughly 23 additional net additions in Q4 FY26.

expansion

60-80 Net New Restaurants Annually

Guidance range of 60-80 net new restaurants per year, though FY26 is tracking at midpoint given back-half-weighted opening schedule. Future years to see more even quarterly distribution.

expansion

Revised Long-Term Targets Next Quarter

Having reached 70% gross margin three years ahead of the FY29 target, management will announce updated multi-year outlook (3-5 year plan) on margins, expansion, and strategy in the next earnings call.

revenue

Inspir Global Infusion: ₹1,600 Crore

Definitive agreement signed with Inspir Global Group for ₹900 crore equity infusion via preference allotment plus ₹700 crore warrants at ₹70/share, resulting in ~35% promoter holding post-transaction.

expansion

Free Cash Flow Positive by FY28

India business expected to achieve FCF breakeven in 4-6 quarters, targeting full FCF-positive year for FY28 while funding 60-80 annual restaurant openings.

growth

Indonesia BK Restaurant-Level AITA to Cover GNA

BK Indonesia targeting restaurant-level margins to recover its overhead (GNA) approximately 4 quarters out, supported by delivery margin improvement to 6.2-6.4 range.

margins

Cafe ADS Target of ₹25,000 per Restaurant per Day

Long-term goal over 4-5 years to build cafe average daily sales to ₹25,000 per restaurant; mature converted stores significantly above average.

growth

New Outlook Post Inspa Global Acquisition

Revised outlook to be provided in Q1 FY27 once the Inspa Global acquisition transaction is completed and new promoters are onboarded.

other