PVRINOX / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

PVR INOX · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Screen Additions: 150-165 screens annually

Already opened 46 screens (8 properties) in Q1-Q2; on track to meet full-year target with focus on South India (40-45% of additions).

expansion

Special Format Mix: 15%-20% medium-term target

Currently 13.5% in 229 screens; rolling out IMAX, ICE, 4DX, LUXE formats in new and existing properties under renovation.

growth

Ad Revenue Recovery: Sharp bounce in Q2, normalized levels by Q3

Q1 ad revenue was INR 89 crore vs INR 93 crore last year (pro forma). Management expects sharp recovery from Q2 with long-term deals closing in 60-90 days; Q3 (festive period) to reach normalized levels.

revenue

No Fundraising in Next 12 Months

All growth CapEx to be funded via internal accruals. Net debt increased INR 70 crore in Q1 due to screen fit-outs; quarter-on-quarter volatility expected but annual guidance unchanged.

capex

FY25 Screen Expansion: Net +50 Screens

Company plans to open 120 new screens and exit 70 underperforming screens, resulting in net 50 screen additions. New screens will be selective and largely on capital-light model partnering with developers.

expansion

Q3 FY25 Expected to be Largest Quarter

Management indicated Q3 (October-December) with Pushpa 2 and other big releases could potentially be the biggest quarter of fiscal year, though exact comparison to prior year not specified.

revenue

Return to Pre-COVID EBITDA Margins as Long-term Target

Company stated it is taking measures on revenue and cost sides to return to pre-COVID EBITDA margin levels, though no specific timeline or target percentage provided.

margins

Full-year admissions to cross FY2024 levels

Management expressed full confidence in exceeding FY2024's ~150 million annual admissions, citing a robust and diverse content pipeline and strong July performance.

growth

INR 400-425 crore CapEx for FY2026

CapEx guidance maintained at INR 400-425 crore, comprising ~INR 250-260 crore for new screens (90-100 screens), ~INR 70-75 crore for renovation, and ~INR 75 crore for maintenance/IT.

capex

Net debt reduction to continue

Management expects further net debt reduction as operating cash flow strengthens, building on INR 61 crore Q1 reduction and INR 539 crore (38%) reduction since merger.

expansion

127 new screens in pipeline via capital-light models

55 screens signed under FOCO model and 72 under asset-light model, to be opened over 18-24 months, improving ROC profile versus traditional lease model.

expansion

Free Cash Flow Positive by FY24-end

Company expects to be FCF positive after funding all CapEx for FY24, driven by EBITDA growth and working capital optimization.

growth

1:1 Debt-to-EBITDA ratio in FY24

Net debt reduced by INR 327 crore in H1 to INR 1,100 crore. Management targets achieving 1x leverage this fiscal year.

margins

150-160 new screens in FY24

68 screens opened in H1; remaining 82-92 screens planned for H2. Net additions of ~100 screens after 60 exits from underperforming locations.

expansion

Pre-COVID ad revenue by FY25

Absolute ad revenue expected to reach 2019-20 levels next year. Per-screen ad revenue will remain below pre-COVID due to higher screen count.

revenue

Q3FY25 to be strongest quarter of FY25

Management expressed high confidence that November and December will deliver strong numbers with Singham Again (Diwali), Pushpa 2 (December), and Venom releasing. Q3 is expected to be the best quarter of the fiscal year.

revenue

Screen expansion target: ~100 screens per annum

For the next few years, PVR INOX plans to add 80-120 screens annually, with 15% in FoCO model, 35-50% in asset-light model, and balance in structured lease model.

expansion

FY25 CapEx guidance: ₹400 crore

H1 CapEx was ₹205 crore. Going forward, with increased asset-light mix, CapEx for new screen additions should decline, though renovation CapEx may increase for high-performing properties.

capex

FY26 expected to be a strong year

Management anticipates improved occupancy levels next year with a very strong film lineup including biggest blockbusters from top Bollywood stars (Ranbir Kapoor, Ranveer Singh, Shah Rukh Khan, Salman Khan) and more Hollywood releases post-strike recovery.

growth

H2 performance expected at least equal to H1

Management expects Q3 and Q4 to match or exceed H1's strong performance, supported by a robust festive slate and Diwali releases.

revenue

132 new screens over 18-24 months

Pipeline screens signed under capital-light model (44 FOCO + 88 Asset Light), to be opened as malls/sites become ready, with ~50% to remain in owned cinemas.

expansion

Film distribution slate: 8-10 Hindi, 15-20 Hollywood films annually

PVR Pictures maintains its track record with releases including 'Thama' (Diwali), 'De De Pyaar De 2', 'Now You See Me' sequel, and multiple Hollywood titles.

growth

Smart Screen POC to launch in December 2025

First proof-of-concept smart cinema targeting tier 2/tier 3 markets with lower ATP and concession pricing, using digital-first operations.

expansion

Screen Additions: 160-170 new screens in FY24

Company is on track to open 160-170 new screens in FY24, with 72 screens currently under fit-out awaiting licenses. Approximately 40-45% of additions targeted for South India.

expansion

Net Screen Additions to Normalize

The 77-screen closure exercise is a one-time post-merger rationalization. Going forward, annual churn will be 1-2% of portfolio with net additions similar to gross additions (~150-160 screens per year).

expansion

Passport Loyalty Program v2 Launch

Revised loyalty program launching pan-India within three weeks, designed to drive multiple monthly visits per customer and reduce dependency on tentpole releases.

growth

Debt Reduction Priority

All free operating cash flow after funding CapEx needs will be directed toward debt reduction. Average cost of debt is approximately 9%.

other

Q4 FY25 Strong Lineup Visibility

January saw 4 films cross INR 100 crore; February has Chhaava (Vicky Kaushal), Captain America, regional releases; March includes Sikandar (Salman Khan), War 2, and multiple regional titles.

revenue

FY26 CapEx Guidance: INR 400-500 Crore

35% reduction from FY24's INR 625 crore, driven by capital-light model adoption where developers contribute 40-80% of cinema fit-out CapEx.

capex

Screen Additions: 100-120 Screens Annually

Majority of new screen openings from FY26 onwards will be under capital-light models. 100 screens signed under new model, expected over 2-3 years.

expansion

2025 Hollywood Blockbuster Pipeline

Major titles include Captain America (Feb), Mission: Impossible: Final Reckoning (May), Fantastic Four (Jul), Avatar 3: Fire and Ash (Dec), Superman, Jurassic World: Rebirth.

growth

~150 new screens in FY27

Net screen additions expected to be approximately 150 in FY2027 as the company continues its capital-light expansion strategy, following ~100 screen additions planned for FY2026.

expansion

CapEx of INR 350-400 crore in FY27

Capital expenditure outlay for FY2027 includes new screen additions, renovations, and maintenance across the circuit, with greater focus on upgrading older cinemas.

capex

Return on Capital on upward trajectory to double digits

ROCE expected to reach high single digits on adjusted basis (excluding goodwill), improving from current levels as balance sheet strengthens and asset-light model scales.

growth

Tax shield utilization over 3.5-4 years

Deferred tax assets expected to be fully utilized over the next 3.5-4 years, providing a tax shield for future earnings visibility.

other

FY25 Net Screen Addition: +50 screens

Opening 120 new screens while exiting 70 underperforming screens, resulting in net addition of approximately 50 screens. Focus on South India expansion.

expansion

CapEx Reduction: 25% lower than FY24

Total CapEx outlay expected to decline by at least 25% from INR 630 crore in FY24, driven by capital-light model adoption and developer co-investment.

capex

Leverage Reduction: 50% over 12-18 months

Target to reduce leverage by at least 50% through FCF generation and monetization of inherited INOX real estate assets (potential INR 300-400 crore).

other

FOCO Model: 20-25% of new screens by FY26

Franchise-Owned Company-Operated model expected to account for 20-25% of new screen additions, scaling up over four years. Currently testing with 15-20 screens in FY25.

expansion

Screen Expansion: 100-110 new screens in FY26

Bulk of new screens will be under capital-light/FOCO model. 23 cinemas with 101 screens already signed under these models, with 20 screens opened in April 2025 alone.

expansion

CapEx Guidance: INR 400-425 crore for FY26

INR 250-300 crore for new projects under fit-out, plus renovation/maintenance of existing circuit and IT-related CapEx.

capex

Debt Reduction: Negligible Net Debt in 2-3 Years

Capital allocation priority is deleveraging. With uptick in earnings, increased occupancy, and lower CapEx intensity from asset-light model, operating cash flows will exceed repayment obligations.

margins

Hollywood Outlook: Strong FY26 Lineup

Mission: Impossible: Final Reckoning tracking well per advance bookings. Expect buoyant year with multiple tentpoles including Fantastic Four, Superman, Jurassic World, Avatar 3.

growth

Screen additions of 100+ in FY27

Management expects to add over 100 screens in FY27, with 55-60% under capital-light models (FOCO and asset-light).

expansion

Capex guidance of ₹375-400 crore for FY27

Capex includes ₹225-250 crore for new projects, ₹80-100 crore for renovations, and balance for maintenance and IT.

capex

Gross debt reduction target to ~₹500 crore

Management intends to reduce gross debt from ₹760 crore to around ₹500 crore in the near term.

other

Smart screen pilot openings by mid-July 2026

Two smart screen pilots will open by mid-July, with 28-30 screens planned under this model over the next year.

expansion