NTPC / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Ntpc · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Award 11.2 GW thermal capacity by FY25

NTPC plans to award 11.2 GW of new thermal capacity over the next 12 months, with 50% standalone and 50% via JVs.

expansion

Renewable capacity target of 15 GW by FY26

NTPC expects to commission 15 GW of renewable energy capacity by the end of FY26.

growth

Long-term renewable target of 60 GW by FY32

NTPC aims to achieve 60 GW of renewable capacity by FY32.

growth

Group CapEx target of INR 28,373 crore for FY24

NTPC group CapEx target for FY24 is INR 28,373 crore, with H1 achieving 47%.

capex

RE capacity addition of 3 GW in FY25, 5 GW in FY26, 8 GW in FY27

NTPC Green Energy will add 3 GW renewable capacity in FY25, 5 GW in FY26, and 8 GW in FY27, targeting 60 GW by FY32.

growth

Thermal capacity awards of 13.6 GW by FY27

8.8 GW already bid out (award by Dec 2024), balance 4.8 GW in next two months; total 13.6 GW thermal capacity to be awarded by FY27.

growth

NGEL IPO expected in Q3 FY25

Draft red herring prospectus filed; IPO process on track for completion in Q3 FY25.

other

Coal production target of 67 MMT by FY29

NTPC group coal production to increase from 40 MMT in FY25 to about 67 MMT by FY29.

growth

Capacity addition target of 9,844 MW for FY26

Management confirmed on track to add 9,844 MW in FY26, with 5,359 MW already added in 7 months.

growth

Capex of INR 30,000 crore at NTPC Green in FY26

NTPC Green plans to spend INR 30,000 crore in FY26, with INR 6,607 crore incurred in H1.

capex

Long-term capacity target of 244 GW by 2037

Revised target from 130 GW to 149 GW by 2029 and 244 GW by 2037, requiring INR 7 lakh crore capex by 2032.

growth

Nuclear project Mahi Banswara to be commissioned by 2032-33

4x700 MW nuclear project with total capex of ~INR 50,000 crore; excavation contracts awarded, main packages expected this fiscal.

expansion

Award 5.6 GW thermal capacity in H1 FY25

Out of 16.8 GW planned, 5.6 GW will be tendered in Q1-Q2 FY25, including Singrauli, Sipat, and Darlipali.

expansion

Coal production target of 34 MMT for FY24

Management confirmed achieving 27 MMT in 9M FY24 and expects to meet the full-year target of 34 MMT.

growth

Renewable capacity target of ~15 GW by FY26

Despite delays, management reiterated the target of 15 GW operational renewable capacity by FY26.

growth

Under-recovery to reverse in Q4 FY24 to INR 400-450 crore

Full-year under-recovery expected at INR 400-450 crore, with reversal in Q4 as planned outages complete.

margins

FY25 capacity addition target of 6,976 MW

Includes 2,780 MW thermal, 250 MW hydro, and 3,946 MW renewable across group.

growth

NGEL capacity addition: 5 GW in FY26, 8 GW in FY27

Renewable capacity additions guided for NTPC Green Energy Ltd.

growth

Under-recovery to reduce to INR 250-300 Cr by Q4 FY25

Fixed cost under-recovery expected to improve further in Q4 due to lower outages.

margins

Thermal capacity awards of 7.2 GW by FY27

Includes 2.4 GW to be awarded in Q4 FY25 and 4.8 GW in FY26-27, all brownfield.

expansion

Renewable capacity addition target FY26: 5 GW

NGEL targets 5 GW renewable capacity addition in FY26, with 2.5 GW expected in the next two months.

growth

Renewable capacity addition target FY27: 8 GW

NGEL targets 8 GW capacity addition in FY27, with work already commenced on various plants.

growth

Thermal capacity addition: 6.5 GW over 3 years

NTPC plans to add 6.5 GW of thermal capacity over FY26-28, including 2,780 MW in FY26, 1,600 MW in FY27, and 2,120 MW in FY28.

growth

Thermal awards target FY27: 4 GW

NTPC plans to award 4 GW of thermal projects in FY27, including Lara-II, Jhabua, BRBCL, and Bhilai.

expansion

Thermal capacity ordering plan: 15.2 GW over FY25-FY27

10.4 GW to be tendered in FY25, 3.2 GW in FY26, 1.6 GW in FY27. Includes Sipat, Darlipali, Meja, etc.

expansion

Renewable commissioning targets: 3 GW in FY25, 5 GW in FY26, 8 GW in FY27

Total 22.5 GW capacity addition planned over next three years including thermal, hydro, and renewable.

growth

Coal mining target: 50 MMT annual production in three years

Captive coal production expected to reach 50 million tonnes per annum within three years.

growth

NGEL IPO planned for October-November 2024

DRHP filing post-June 2024; NTPC to remain holding company post-IPO.

other

FY26 group capacity addition target of 11,806 MW

Includes 3,518 MW thermal, 1,000 MW hydro, and 7,226 MW renewable. Standalone adds 2,019 MW.

growth

FY27 group capacity addition target of 9,904 MW

Comprises 1,460 MW thermal, 444 MW hydro, and 8,000 MW renewable.

growth

Group CapEx of INR 55,920 crore in FY26

Rising to INR 97,363 crore in FY27 and INR 1,12,172 crore in FY28, totaling INR 2,65,455 crore over three years.

capex

Captive coal production target of 45 MMT in FY26

Rising to 56 MMT and 60 MMT in subsequent years, with ~7% CAGR.

growth