NOCIL / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

NOCIL · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

FY26 Full-Year Volume Growth: 3-4%

Despite H1 FY26 degrowth of -5% YoY, management expects Q4 recovery to drive full-year volume growth of 3-4%, with strong domestic momentum continuing into Q4.

growth

FY27 Double-Digit Volume Growth

MD expects overall double-digit volume growth in FY27, driven by US tariff recovery (50% of lost volumes expected back within 2-3 months), India-EU FTA tailwinds, and new product ramp-up.

growth

New TDQ Capacity: H1 CY26 Production Trials

TDQ antioxidant expansion at Dahej is ahead of original schedule, with production trials planned H1 CY26. Customer approvals expected during FY27 with volume ramp-up through FY28.

expansion

Annual Margin Improvement: 150 bps over 2-3 Years

Management targets at least 150bps annual EBITDA margin improvement through operational efficiency initiatives, new product mix, and improved capacity utilization, over the next 2-3-4 years.

margins

Double-digit volume growth in FY27

Management targets double-digit volume growth for the coming year, building on Q4 momentum and new capacities.

growth

EBITDA margin improvement of 150 bps from FY26 base

Management expects to improve EBITDA margin by 150 basis points from FY26 levels through cost efficiencies and operating leverage.

margins

₹130 crore specialty capex completion by H1 FY28

New integrated specialty facility will be commissioned by H1 FY28, targeting 20% specialty mix.

capex

Anti-dumping duty approval expected by mid-June 2026

Central government is expected to approve DGTR's anti-dumping duty recommendations within 90 days, i.e., by mid-June.

other