NAVA / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

NAVA · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

EU safeguard duties on alloy exports

European Union imposed safeguard duties on Indian manganese alloy imports, pressuring domestic prices as export volumes are diverted locally.

medium

Contested lithium exploration license

Lithium exploration in Zambia is stalled due to a competing claim by another company; progress depends on ministry resolution.

medium

Deferred tax volatility from currency movements

Zambian kwacha appreciation created a non-cash deferred tax liability; future exchange rate swings could impact reported earnings.

low

Power price decline from renewable capacity addition

Exchange-based power tariffs dropped 13% YoY due to renewable capacity additions; management relies on bilateral contracts to mitigate.

medium