Macroeconomic uncertainty and client decision delays
Ongoing macro and geopolitical uncertainty could lead to delayed decision cycles and project completions, as seen in the TMT vertical softness.
Mphasis · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Ongoing macro and geopolitical uncertainty could lead to delayed decision cycles and project completions, as seen in the TMT vertical softness.
Increased AI-driven productivity gains may lead clients to demand price concessions, though management believes structured commercial models mitigate this.
Large annuity deals with upfront savings commitments require working capital investment, pressuring cash flow conversion to ~80% from historical >100%.
Hedge losses from rupee depreciation will continue to weigh on reported EBIT margins in H1 FY27, delaying the benefit of currency tailwinds.