MOTILALOSWALFINANCIAL / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

Motilal Oswal Financial · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

Market volatility impacting investment book MTM

Unrealized MTM losses of ~₹1,000 crore at Q4 end, though mostly recouped in April; prolonged downturn could affect reported PAT.

medium

SIP market share decline due to fund closures

International funds and micro-cap fund are closed for new SIPs, causing a slight dip in SIP market share; recovery depends on fund performance.

low

Competition from digital brokers and fintech platforms

Digital brokers gaining share in cash/FNO and mutual fund distribution; management acknowledges need to adapt strategy for larger traders.

medium

Revenue yield compression from mix shift

Fastest growth in passives (lower yields) and alternates (higher yields) growing slower; mix effect could pressure overall fee margins.

low