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A source-linked quarter view: reported numbers, management language, guidance, and the risks that should carry forward.
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Revenue
₹243 Cr
verified against source
Revenue YoY
28%
reported change
EBITDA
₹24.5 Cr
latest reported figure
Source
screener in
record provenance
Actual signal trajectory
Where this quarter sits.
Quarter read
What the record says.
Modi Naturals delivered a strong Q4 FY26 with revenue up 28% YoY to ₹243 crore, EBITDA up 51.8% to ₹24.5 crore, and PAT surging 141% to ₹19.7 crore. The ethanol division drove performance with revenue of ₹92.2 crore and EBITDA of ₹18.5 crore, benefiting from expanded capacity (282 KLPD) and value-added byproducts. Consumer division revenue grew to ₹50.9 crore, with pasta leading e-commerce performance. Management guided for FY27 consolidated revenue of ~₹950 crore, assuming only 50% utilization of expanded ethanol capacity, implying significant upside. Risks include potential overcapacity in ethanol and execution challenges in consumer. The company plans no major capex beyond ₹20 crore for byproduct value addition.
Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.
Guidance to track
- Based on conservative 50% utilization of expanded ethanol capacity; management expects to exceed this.
- Long-term margin guidance for ethanol division, excluding exceptional items; Q4 margin was 18.8% due to one-offs.
- Oil basket to reach ₹300-350 crore and food products ₹150 crore, driven by premiumization and distribution expansion.
- No large capex planned; small investment in ethanol byproduct value addition project.
Risks flagged
- Surge in ethanol capacity over last three years may lead to underutilization and margin pressure.
- Management cited execution as the primary risk; new product launches and distribution expansion may not meet targets.
- Any adverse change in blending mandates or export policy could impact ethanol demand and pricing.
Key quotes
- We have evaluated a few opportunities in the food sector but nothing that we have firmed up yet.
- The 50% number was for the expanded capacity not the total. We're looking at about 230 kl on a conservative side for the guidance.
- I don't see any reason why this segment for us should not get to 500 crores in the medium term.
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