INDUSINFRATRUST / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

Indus Infra Trust · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

Execution delays in asset acquisitions

Acquisition of KNR assets may slip to next quarter due to lender and NHAI approvals, impacting growth timeline.

medium

Interest rate and capital market volatility

Rising interest rates and tight liquidity could increase borrowing costs and affect acquisition funding.

medium

LTV increase and need for equity fundraising

Post-acquisition LTV may rise to 52-53%, requiring equity fundraising which could dilute unit holders.

medium

Intense competition for HAM assets

Multiple new InvITs and funds are chasing a limited supply of quality road assets, potentially driving up acquisition prices and lowering IRRs.

high

Major maintenance costs for aging assets

Two assets (Gurda Rupag and Barami San) are due for major maintenance in FY27, which could temporarily impact cash flows.

medium

Rising cost of debt

Marginal cost of debt may increase due to yield movements, potentially affecting net distributable cash flows.

medium

Execution risk in asset acquisitions

The KNR acquisition is yet to close pending conditions precedent; any delay could impact FY27 DPU guidance.

medium