IGL / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Indraprastha Gas · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Exit volume run-rate of 9.5 MMSCMD by Q4 FY25

Management targets exiting Q4 FY25 at 9.5 MMSCMD, up from 8.64 MMSCMD in Q1 FY25.

growth

EBITDA per SCM exceeding INR 8 in Q2 FY25

Management expects EBITDA per SCM to improve to over INR 8 in Q2 FY25 from INR 7.4 in Q1 FY25.

margins

CapEx of INR 1,700-1,800 Cr for FY25

Total capital expenditure for FY25 is guided at INR 1,700-1,800 Cr, with INR 297 Cr spent in Q1.

capex

5% CBG blending target in 3 years

IGL aims to achieve 5% CBG blending in its gas mix within 3 years, ahead of the government mandate.

ai_strategy

Volume growth guidance of 10-11% for next 2-3 years

Management expects annual volume growth of 10-11% over the next 2-3 years, including contributions from new GAs and acquisitions.

growth

EBITDA margin target of INR 7-8 per SCM long-term

Management aims to maintain EBITDA margins in the range of INR 7-8 per SCM over the long term, with potential upside from tariff rationalization and state tax cuts.

margins

Capex plan of INR 1,400-1,500 crore for FY26

Annual capex guidance of INR 1,400-1,500 crore for the core business, with INR 290 crore incurred in Q1.

capex

Commissioning of 102 CNG stations in FY26

Target to commission 102 new CNG stations during the full financial year.

expansion

FY25 volume target of 9.5 MMSCMD exit rate

Management targets to exit FY25 at 9.5 million standard cubic meters per day, with Q2 average at 9.03 MMSCMD.

growth

FY25 capex of INR 1,700 crore

Planned capital expenditure of INR 1,700 crore for FY25, with 45-55% in Delhi NCR and 45% in other GAs.

capex

EBITDA margin aspiration of INR 6-7 per SCM

Management aims to maintain EBITDA per SCM in the range of INR 6-7, despite APM allocation cuts.

margins

50 LNG stations in 3-5 years

IGL plans to set up around 50 LNG stations over the next 3-5 years, with 3 stations expected by end of FY25.

expansion

Volume growth guidance of 8-10% for FY26 ex-DTC

Management expects overall volume growth of 8-10% for FY26, excluding DTC volumes, driven by strong CNG and PNG demand.

growth

EBITDA margin guidance of INR 7-8 per SCM

Management reiterated long-term EBITDA margin guidance of INR 7-8 per SCM, achievable by Q4 FY26 with tariff and VAT benefits.

margins

CapEx guidance of INR 1,200-1,400 crore for core business in FY26

Core business CapEx is planned at INR 1,200-1,400 crore for FY26, with INR 580 crore already spent in H1.

capex

Saudi JV targeting 4-5 MMSCMD volume with INR 100-150 crore investment

The Saudi JV (40% stake) targets five industrial cities with potential volume of 4-5 MMSCMD and investment of INR 100-150 crore.

expansion

Exit FY25 at 9.5 MMSCMD sales volume

Management expects to exit the current financial year with average daily sales volume of 9.5 MMSCMD, driven by restored gas supplies and growth in new GAs.

growth

Target 10.5 MMSCMD in one year

IGL anticipates reaching 10.5 MMSCMD average daily sales volume within the next year, supported by 10-11% annual growth.

growth

EBITDA margin recovery to ₹7-8 per SCM in Q4

Management expects EBITDA per SCM to return to the ₹7-8 range in Q4 FY25, aided by price hikes and improved gas sourcing costs.

margins

CapEx of ₹13,000-15,000 crore for next year

Capital expenditure for FY26 is projected at ₹13,000-15,000 crore, potentially higher if diversification initiatives materialize.

capex

Exit Q4 FY26 at 10 MMSCMD daily volume

Management expects March 2026 average daily volume to exceed 10 MMSCMD, with current drawl already above 10 MMSCMD on many days.

growth

Long-term EBITDA margin target of INR 7-8 per SCM

Target EBITDA margin of INR 7-8 per SCM, supported by transmission tariff benefit (INR 0.75/SCM net), Gujarat VAT (INR 0.25/SCM), and labor code reversal (INR 0.30/SCM).

margins

Annual volume addition of ~1 MMSCMD per year

Target to add ~1 million SCMD annually over next 2-3 years, with 65-70% from CNG and 30-35% from PNG.

growth

Core CapEx of INR 1,200-1,500 crore for FY27

Core business CapEx (CNG/PNG) expected at INR 1,200-1,500 crore; diversification CapEx (CBG, LNG, renewables) of INR 500-800 crore additional from FY27.

capex

FY26 volume growth target of 10%

Management expects 10% overall volume growth in FY26, with CNG growing 7-8% and PNG growing 13-14%.

growth

EBITDA per SCM target of INR 6-7 in Q1 FY26

Management guided for EBITDA per SCM in the INR 6-7 range in Q1 FY26, with a medium-term target of INR 7-8.

margins

CapEx plan of ~INR 2,000 crore for FY26

CapEx of ~INR 2,000 crore planned, with INR 1,300-1,400 crore for core business, INR 400-500 crore for solar JV, and balance for LNG/CBG.

capex

Solar JV commissioning in 18 months

The 500 MW solar plant JV with RVUNL is expected to be commissioned in 18 months, with IGL's equity contribution of INR 372 crore.

expansion