HINDPETRO / Q3-FY26 / risks

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HPCL · Material risks, their source context, and severity in the latest available quarter.

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PositiveQ3-FY26 · 2026-01-28Back to quarter ↗

Risk intelligence

Material risks this quarter

LPG under-recovery rising sharply

Under-recovery expected to increase to ~₹95/cylinder in January and ~₹120/cylinder thereafter due to higher Saudi CP prices.

medium

Potential excise duty changes on auto fuels

Persistent market speculation about excise duty hikes could weigh on investor sentiment, though management views it as unlikely.

medium

Mumbai refinery incident residual costs

The contamination incident caused a ~$3.5/bbl GRM impact and additional transportation costs; full financial impact may not be final.

low

Rajasthan refinery cost overrun risk

Project cost estimated at ~₹80,000 crore; management expects no further escalation but final approvals pending.

low