Hindalco Industries / Q4-FY25

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Positive2025-04-30Back to HINDALCO

Revenue

₹64,890 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

reported change

EBITDA

₹9,774 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

source records only
EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
11 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q1 FY24: 6,109 · Watch source sentiment · 2023-08-11Q1 FY24Q2 FY24: 6,096 · Watch source sentiment · 2023-10-31Q2 FY24Q3 FY24: 6,985 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-02-09Q3 FY24Q4 FY24: 7,200 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-05-15Q4 FY24Q1 FY25: 7,992 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-08-01Q1 FY25Q2 FY25: 9,100 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-11-08Q2 FY25Q3 FY25: 8,108 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-02-07Q3 FY25Q4 FY25: 9,774 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-04-30Q4 FY25Q1 FY26: 8,539 · Watch source sentiment · 2025-08-01Q1 FY26Q2 FY26: 9,104 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-11-10Q2 FY26Q3 FY26: 8,762 · Watch source sentiment · 2026-02-10Q3 FY269,7746,096
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

Hindalco delivered a record-breaking Q4 FY25 with consolidated EBITDA up 24% YoY to INR 9,774 crore and PAT up 66% YoY to INR 5,284 crore. India aluminum upstream EBITDA hit a record INR 4,838 crore with industry-best margins of 47%, driven by lower input costs and favorable macros. Novelis EBITDA fell 8% YoY to $473 million due to tighter scrap spreads and tariff impacts, but management expects improvement as USMCA 2.0 progresses. Downstream aluminum EBITDA also hit a record INR 219 crore, up 52% YoY, supported by product mix improvement. Key growth drivers include the Aditya FRP project commissioning, copper IGT plant, and battery enclosure ramp-up. Risks include sustained scrap cost pressure at Novelis and global trade policy uncertainty.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • Management guided downstream EBITDA per ton between $250 and $300 for FY26, driven by product mix improvement and new capacities.
  • Capital expenditure for Indian operations expected to be INR 7,500-8,000 crore in FY26, up from INR 6,500 crore in FY25.
  • The 160 KTPA FRP plant at Aditya is expected to sell 60-70 KT in FY26, with ramp-up starting in June.
  • The 600 KT greenfield rolling and recycling facility at Bay Minette is progressing steadily, with over 90% engineering complete.

Risks flagged

  • Novelis faces a $40 million per quarter net negative impact from U.S. tariffs and elevated scrap spreads, with uncertainty around USMCA 2.0 timing.
  • Annual TC/RC benchmark for 2025 settled at $0.0545/lb, down 73% YoY, pressuring copper EBITDA which fell 21% in Q4.
  • U.S. tariff measures and trade tensions could slow global GDP growth, impacting aluminum demand and pricing.
  • Alumina prices remain volatile due to Guinea supply risks; management assumes $350-$400/ton range for planning.

Key quotes

  • Hindalco has been recognized as the world's most sustainable aluminum company for the fifth year in a row, achieving highest-ever ESG scores in the S&P Global CSA ranking.
  • Our cost position is expected to strengthen further as we progress towards enhancing resource security through our captive coal and low-cost alumina.
  • We are structurally transforming our cost base to protect margins and strengthen our profitability in Novelis.

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