HFCL / Q4-FY26

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Positive2026-04-??Back to HFCL

Revenue

₹1,824.12 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

127.8%

reported change

EBITDA

₹336.93 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

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EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
12 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q1 FY24: 159.6 · Positive source sentiment · 2023-08-14Q1 FY24Q2 FY24: 149.8 · Watch source sentiment · 2023-10-25Q2 FY24Q3 FY24: 163.5 · Watch source sentiment · 2024-01-31Q3 FY24Q4 FY24: 682 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-05-15Q4 FY24Q1 FY25: 185 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-07-25Q1 FY25Q2 FY25: 172 · Watch source sentiment · 2024-10-31Q2 FY25Q3 FY25: 171.9 · Watch source sentiment · 2025-02-03Q3 FY25Q4 FY25: 507 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-05-15Q4 FY25Q1 FY26: 42.9 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-07-30Q1 FY26Q2 FY26: 203.4 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-10-30Q2 FY26Q3 FY26: 243.5 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-02-12Q3 FY26Q4 FY26: 336.9 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-04-??Q4 FY2668242.9
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

HFCL delivered a record Q4 FY26 with revenue of ₹1,824 Cr (up 128% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹337 Cr (18.5% margin vs -2.8% a year ago), driven by strong OFC demand from hyperscalers, a shift to high-margin products, and export growth (41% of revenue vs 12% last year). The order book hit an all-time high of ₹21,200 Cr, including a landmark $1.1B global OFC contract. Management guided for 20-25% revenue growth and 3-4% margin expansion in FY27, supported by capacity additions, data center interconnect solutions (₹400 Cr revenue expected), and defense scaling. Key risk: any sharp reversal in fiber pricing or geopolitical disruption could pressure margins.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • Management expects revenue to grow 20-25% year-on-year in FY27, driven by strong order book and capacity expansion.
  • Blended EBITDA margin expected to improve by 300-400 bps in FY27 due to better product mix and reduction in EPC losses.
  • Data center interconnect solutions expected to contribute at least ₹400 Cr revenue in FY27, scaling to ₹800 Cr in FY28.
  • Capital expenditure for FY27 estimated at ₹600 Cr (including preform, defense, and capacity expansion) and ₹350 Cr for FY28.

Risks flagged

  • Management acknowledged that geopolitical events (e.g., canal closures, conflicts) could disrupt operations or demand, though they currently see no material impact.
  • Analysts raised concerns about rising helium and polymer costs (20% of COGS) and preform prices; management said long-term contracts and pass-through clauses mitigate risk but margins could compress if spot prices spike.
  • EPC business has been loss-making due to warranty costs on an army contract; management expects profitability only after AMC signing (likely Q2 FY27). Unbilled revenue of ~₹600 Cr also poses working capital risk.
  • The massive order book (₹21,200 Cr) and planned capacity expansions require flawless execution; any delay in commissioning or supply chain bottlenecks could impact revenue recognition.

Key quotes

  • This is probably the highest ever single contract secured by any Indian telecom company.
  • We expect that this year again we should be able to have a 20 to 25% increase in revenue and looks like that we can have a 3 to 4% increase in our profit margin.
  • The global optical fiber market is undergoing a structural transformation driven by hyperscale data centers, artificial intelligence workloads and cloud infrastructure expansion.

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