HFCL / Q4-FY25

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Positive2025-05-15Back to HFCL

Revenue

₹801 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

-8.98%

reported change

EBITDA

₹507 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

source records only
EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
12 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q1 FY24: 159.6 · Positive source sentiment · 2023-08-14Q1 FY24Q2 FY24: 149.8 · Watch source sentiment · 2023-10-25Q2 FY24Q3 FY24: 163.5 · Watch source sentiment · 2024-01-31Q3 FY24Q4 FY24: 682 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-05-15Q4 FY24Q1 FY25: 185 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-07-25Q1 FY25Q2 FY25: 172 · Watch source sentiment · 2024-10-31Q2 FY25Q3 FY25: 171.9 · Watch source sentiment · 2025-02-03Q3 FY25Q4 FY25: 507 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-05-15Q4 FY25Q1 FY26: 42.9 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-07-30Q1 FY26Q2 FY26: 203.4 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-10-30Q2 FY26Q3 FY26: 243.5 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-02-12Q3 FY26Q4 FY26: 336.9 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-04-??Q4 FY2668242.9
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

HFCL reported FY25 consolidated revenue of INR 4,064 crore, down ~9% YoY, impacted by subdued optical fiber cable demand and slower EPC execution. EBITDA surged to INR 507 crore (vs INR 82 crore in FY24) due to a low base, while PAT fell 49% to INR 173 crore. Q4 revenue was weak at INR 800.72 crore with EBITDA margin of just 2.79%. Management guided for 25-30% revenue growth in FY26, driven by optical fiber cable doubling to ~INR 2,200 crore, defense revenue starting from Q2, and strong order book of INR 9,967 crore. Key growth drivers include full capacity utilization, data center demand, and export recovery. Risks include delayed defense trials and customer payment uncertainties in EPC.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • Overall revenue expected to grow 25-30% in FY26, with major growth starting from Q2.
  • Revenue from optical fiber cable and associated business expected to grow by ~100% in FY26, driven by data center and export demand.
  • Management expects EBITDA margins to remain stable around FY24 levels (approx. 12-13%), not FY25 levels.
  • Capex of INR 138 crore planned for expanding optical fiber cable capacity, with orders placed and LCs opened.

Risks flagged

  • Electronic fuze trials delayed due to non-supply of ammunition by Munition India Limited, pushing revenue to H2 FY26.
  • Management refused a INR 2,400 crore EPC order due to payment uncertainty, highlighting ongoing working capital risks.
  • Exports face potential impact from US reciprocal tariffs, though current 10% tariff is manageable.
  • Weak Q4 FY25 performance and Q1 FY26 being a transition quarter could delay the expected rebound.

Key quotes

  • I think the next five years, the trend is going to be upwards, led by the US. Because the data centers are where they are mushrooming in the US is incredible.
  • This is one product, which would be a golden product, I can assure you.
  • I refused INR 2,400 crore order. I just refused. I did not take.

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