HFCL / Q3-FY25

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Watch2025-02-03Back to HFCL

Revenue

₹1,011.95 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

-1.97%

reported change

EBITDA

₹171.89 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

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EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
12 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q1 FY24: 159.6 · Positive source sentiment · 2023-08-14Q1 FY24Q2 FY24: 149.8 · Watch source sentiment · 2023-10-25Q2 FY24Q3 FY24: 163.5 · Watch source sentiment · 2024-01-31Q3 FY24Q4 FY24: 682 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-05-15Q4 FY24Q1 FY25: 185 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-07-25Q1 FY25Q2 FY25: 172 · Watch source sentiment · 2024-10-31Q2 FY25Q3 FY25: 171.9 · Watch source sentiment · 2025-02-03Q3 FY25Q4 FY25: 507 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-05-15Q4 FY25Q1 FY26: 42.9 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-07-30Q1 FY26Q2 FY26: 203.4 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-10-30Q2 FY26Q3 FY26: 243.5 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-02-12Q3 FY26Q4 FY26: 336.9 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-04-??Q4 FY2668242.9
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

HFCL's Q3 FY25 revenue declined ~2% YoY to ₹1,012 crore, while EBITDA margin expanded 116 bps YoY to 16.99% due to a favorable product mix shift (58% products vs 42% turnkey). PAT fell ~12% YoY to ₹72.6 crore on higher depreciation/interest. The order book surged to ₹10,410 crore (up from ₹6,151 crore QoQ), driven by BharatNet Phase 3 wins worth ₹4,650 crore. Management sees green shoots in OFC demand from data centers and rural broadband, but near-term revenue growth remains constrained by delayed project execution and customer approvals. Key risk: further delays in BharatNet implementation or export order conversion could pressure capacity utilization and margins.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • Management expects telecom product revenue to reach ₹350-400 crore in Q4, implying a sequential improvement from Q3 levels.
  • PLI benefits for telecom equipment are expected to be claimed from FY26, with an estimated amount of ₹40-50 crore for the full year.
  • Management aims for 70% revenue from products and 30% from turnkey projects, though profitable turnkey projects may alter the mix.
  • Capacity expansion for IBR cables in Hyderabad is expected to be completed by March 31, 2025, more than doubling capacity.

Risks flagged

  • Only 3 of 24 telecom circuits have resulted in orders for HFCL; further delays in awarding remaining circuits could impact revenue visibility.
  • A large defense order (near ₹800 crore) is stuck due to delayed ammunition supply from government factories, pushing testing to April-May.
  • OFC realizations have fallen ~22% YoY, and capacity utilization is ~50%, pressuring margins. Further price declines could worsen profitability.
  • PLI claims for telecom equipment are unlikely in FY25 due to lower-than-expected product revenue, delaying a potential ₹40-50 crore benefit.

Key quotes

  • We have been given a delivery date of nine months for supply of ammunition because we shall produce with government factories only. As a result of that, we have not been able to test our fuses as per the requirement of that particular country, and we have not been able to start supplying.
  • The company's current order book stands at INR 10,410 crore as compared to INR 6,151 crore in last quarter, which is a very, very significant achievement.
  • We definitely aspire that... 20%-25% growth has to happen. But sometimes, despite the best of the efforts, what we aspire may not come true, particularly market situation, geopolitical situation, and those kind of things happen.

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