Product revenue target of INR 800-1,000 Cr in FY25
Management expects product revenue to reach INR 800-1,000 Cr in FY25, driven by new 5G products and capacity expansion.
HFCL · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.
Guidance tracker
Management expects product revenue to reach INR 800-1,000 Cr in FY25, driven by new 5G products and capacity expansion.
Revenue from 5G-related products (including UBR and Wi-Fi used in 5G networks) expected at INR 350-400 Cr in FY24.
Management expects EBITDA margins to remain around 16% with potential slight improvement as product mix improves.
Expansion of optical fiber capacity from 10M to 33M fiber km is expected to generate additional profitability of INR 150 Cr annually at current prices.
Management expects overall revenue growth of 25-30% in FY25, driven by telecom equipment and passive connectivity solutions.
Revenue from telecom and networking products is expected to reach approximately INR 2,000 crore in FY25, up from INR 143 crore in FY24.
Revenue from passive connectivity solutions is expected to be INR 250 crore in FY25, growing to INR 750 crore in 2-3 years.
The new optical fiber cable facility in Poland, with a capex of INR 170 crore, is expected to be commercialized within calendar year 2025.
Management expects overall revenue to increase by about 25% in FY26 compared to FY25.
Optical fiber cable revenue is expected to reach INR 2,400 crore in FY26, up from INR 1,200 crore in FY25.
Defense segment revenue is expected to be around INR 200 crore or more in FY26.
IBR cable capacity will increase from 1.73 to 19.01 million fiber km per annum by end of FY26.
Management expects incremental revenue of ₹800-1,000 crore from new products (5G FWA, Wi-Fi 7, UBR) in FY25, with launches completing by Q4 FY24.
Expansion of optical fiber capacity to 33.9 million fkm and cable to 35 million fkm will add ₹800-1,000 crore revenue at full run rate.
Management targets a 70/30 revenue mix (products/projects) over the medium term, with FY25 expected at 60/40.
To support new product revenues, additional CapEx of ₹50-75 crore is planned, partly to avail PLI incentives of ₹600 crore.
Management reiterated its aspiration to reach INR 10,000 crore revenue in three years, driven by telecom, defense, and export growth.
Management expects OFC demand to pick up from Q4 FY25, with capacity utilization improving from 45% to 80% or more.
Management expects BharatNet contracts to be awarded in Q4 FY25, with HFCL targeting INR 5,000-8,000 crore opportunity.
Electronic fuzes and other defense products under trial are expected to generate revenue from next financial year.
Management reiterated 20% revenue growth guidance for the full year, expecting strong H2 performance.
Management expects to maintain current EBITDA margin levels in the next two quarters of FY26.
Defense revenue expected to exceed INR 500 crore in the next financial year, driven by new products and orders.
High-fiber count cable capacity expansion from 1.73 to 19.01 million fiber km p.a., total OFC capacity reaching 42.36 million fiber km p.a.
Management expects global OFC demand to improve from Q1 FY25, with significant uptick from Q2, driven by US BEAD subsidies and BharatNet.
Aims to achieve at least 70% revenue from products and 30% from EPC projects in the next financial year.
Indigenously developed equipment revenue expected to be significantly more than INR 1,000 crore in FY25, driven by 5G orders and BharatNet routers.
PLI scheme benefits for telecom equipment will begin from the coming financial year 2024-25.
Management expects telecom product revenue to reach ₹350-400 crore in Q4, implying a sequential improvement from Q3 levels.
PLI benefits for telecom equipment are expected to be claimed from FY26, with an estimated amount of ₹40-50 crore for the full year.
Management aims for 70% revenue from products and 30% from turnkey projects, though profitable turnkey projects may alter the mix.
Capacity expansion for IBR cables in Hyderabad is expected to be completed by March 31, 2025, more than doubling capacity.
Management expects OFC segment revenue to cross INR 3,500 crore in the next financial year, up from an estimated INR 2,400 crore in FY26.
Defense line of products is expected to contribute INR 400-500 crore in revenue next year, driven by fuze, radar, and ammunition orders.
Operations and maintenance revenue is expected to grow to INR 400-500 crore per annum within 2-3 years, starting with Army NFS O&M of INR 170 crore per year from April 2026.
Pre-Connected Solutions for data centers is expected to contribute INR 400-500 crore of additional revenues over the next two financial years.
Management expects telecom equipment revenue to surge from INR 150 crore in FY24 to INR 2,000 crore in FY25, backed by an order book of INR 1,700 crore already in hand.
Optical fiber cable revenue is expected to recover to over INR 2,000 crore in FY25, driven by demand revival in India and global markets.
System integration/turnkey revenue is expected to be around INR 1,750-2,000 crore, supported by existing orders of INR 1,200 crore and recurring business.
Total capital expenditure of approximately INR 900 crore planned for FY25 and FY26, including the Poland OFC plant and other expansions.
Overall revenue expected to grow 25-30% in FY26, with major growth starting from Q2.
Revenue from optical fiber cable and associated business expected to grow by ~100% in FY26, driven by data center and export demand.
Management expects EBITDA margins to remain stable around FY24 levels (approx. 12-13%), not FY25 levels.
Capex of INR 138 crore planned for expanding optical fiber cable capacity, with orders placed and LCs opened.
Management expects revenue to grow 20-25% year-on-year in FY27, driven by strong order book and capacity expansion.
Blended EBITDA margin expected to improve by 300-400 bps in FY27 due to better product mix and reduction in EPC losses.
Data center interconnect solutions expected to contribute at least ₹400 Cr revenue in FY27, scaling to ₹800 Cr in FY28.
Capital expenditure for FY27 estimated at ₹600 Cr (including preform, defense, and capacity expansion) and ₹350 Cr for FY28.