HEROMOTOCO / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Hero MotoCorp · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

ICE margin tramline of 14%-16% maintained

Management reiterated the long-term ICE margin range of 14%-16%, with current margins back to pre-COVID levels.

margins

EV business drag of ~100 bps on margins

The EV business (Vida) is expected to impact overall margins by approximately 100 basis points as it scales.

margins

Double-digit industry growth expected ahead of festive season

Management expects double-digit growth for the two-wheeler industry driven by government capex, easing inflation, and good monsoons.

growth

100 EV cities by December 2023

Vida will expand to 100 cities well before December end; currently present in 36 cities.

expansion

Xtreme 125R capacity to reach 40,000 units/month

Management plans to ramp up Xtreme 125R production from 25,000 to 40,000 units per month in the next couple of months.

growth

Premia stores to cross 100 by end of fiscal

The company targets to have over 100 Premia stores by March 2025, up from 40 currently.

expansion

New EV products to be PLI compliant from October

The upcoming EV range expansion (mid and affordable segments) will be PLI compliant, launching from October 2024 onwards.

ai_strategy

CapEx guidance of INR 1,000-1,200 crore per annum

Annual capital expenditure is expected to be in the range of INR 1,000-1,200 crore.

capex

Industry growth of 6-7% for FY26

Management expects full-year two-wheeler industry growth of 6-7%, with festive season demand recovery offsetting Q1 softness.

growth

EBITDA margin guidance of 14-16%

CFO reiterated margin guidance of 14-16%, with short-term operating at lower band due to investments.

margins

Global business to contribute 10% of revenue/volumes

Target to achieve 10% of revenue and volumes from global business, with over 40% growth expected this year.

revenue

New 125cc motorcycle launches in Q2

Two new 125cc motorcycle launches planned in Q2 FY26 to disrupt the deluxe segment with best-in-class technology.

expansion

Premium store expansion to 100+ in six months

Hero plans to scale premium stores to over 100 in the next six months, from a recent launch.

expansion

Hero 2.0 store count to reach 500 in six months

The company aims to have 500 Hero 2.0 stores within six months, up from 200+ currently.

expansion

Harley and Karizma production ramp-up to 10,000/month

Management guided to ramp up combined production of Harley-Davidson X440 and Karizma to around 10,000 units per month in stage one.

growth

EV portfolio expansion with new price points in FY25

Hero plans to introduce mid and more affordable EV price points in fiscal year 2025.

ai_strategy

EBITDA margin guidance of 14%-16% maintained

Management reiterated the overall EBITDA margin range of 14%-16%, despite continued investments in EV and premium segments.

margins

EV portfolio expansion within six months

VIDA will launch new scooter models covering most price and customer segments within six months, including before end of calendar year.

expansion

PLI benefits expected from FY2026

EV products will become PLI-compliant in FY2026, with benefits starting to accrue from that period.

growth

Premium store expansion to accelerate

Company plans to open 100 premium stores by end of FY2025, with further acceleration expected.

expansion

H2 FY26 industry growth of 8%-10%

Management expects the two-wheeler industry to grow 8%-10% in the second half of FY26, with Hero poised to outperform and gain market share.

growth

EBITDA margin guidance of 14%-16%

CFO reiterated the company's EBITDA margin guidance of 14%-16%, with continued investments in brand, products, and EV.

margins

Continued market share gains in H2

Management expects to continue gaining market share across segments, driven by new products (Glamour X, Xtreme 125R, scooters) and strong festive momentum.

growth

Double-digit industry revenue growth in FY25

Management expects the two-wheeler industry to grow at double-digit revenue in FY25, with Hero aiming to outperform.

revenue

Three new EV models in Q1 FY25 at distinct price points

Hero will launch affordable, mid, and premium EV scooters in Q1 FY25, targeting price points around INR 1 lakh, INR 1.25 lakh, and INR 1.5 lakh.

growth

100 VIDA hubs by FY25

Hero plans to expand exclusive VIDA hubs from 18 to 100 in the next fiscal year.

expansion

PAM business capacity to INR 10,000 Cr

Investment of INR 600 Cr over two years to expand parts, accessories, and merchandise capacity to over INR 10,000 Cr annual revenue.

capex

Double-digit revenue growth in FY26

Management expects double-digit revenue growth for the next fiscal year, driven by new launches, rural recovery, and tax relief.

revenue

EV portfolio PLI compliance by next fiscal

The V2 portfolio will become PLI compliant in the coming months, with the entire portfolio compliant by next fiscal.

growth

Premium store count to cross 100 soon

The company plans to expand its premium store network from 60 to over 100 stores in the near term.

expansion

Hero 2.0 stores at 700 in less than 700 days

The company has opened 700 Hero 2.0 stores at a pace of more than one store per day, accelerating retail transformation.

expansion

Industry growth of high single digits in FY27

Management expects the two-wheeler industry to grow in high single digits in FY27, with moderation in H2 due to high base.

growth

Price hike of INR 300 per vehicle in January

Hero took a price increase of INR 300 per vehicle in January to mitigate commodity cost inflation.

revenue

EV capacity expansion in FY27

VIDA expects a market increase in capacity in FY27 to meet growing demand.

expansion

Double-digit revenue growth in FY25

Management is confident of achieving double-digit revenue growth in FY25, driven by volume, mix, and pricing.

revenue

Capex guidance of INR 1,000-1,500 crore for FY25

Capital expenditure for FY25 is expected to be between INR 1,000-1,500 crore, including GPC2 expansion.

capex

Xtreme 125R capacity ramp to 20,000-25,000 per month by June-July

Production capacity for Xtreme 125R will be increased to 1,000 units per day (approx. 20,000-25,000 per month) in the next 2-3 months.

growth

EV portfolio expansion in H1 FY25 with PLI compliance by Q2

New EV products in mid and mass segments will be launched in H1, and PLI compliance is expected by Q2 FY25.

ai_strategy

Industry growth of 6-7% in FY26

Management expects the two-wheeler industry to grow in the mid to high single digits (6-7%) in FY2026.

growth

EBITDA margin guidance of 14-16%

Management reiterated guidance to maintain EBITDA margins between 14% and 16%.

margins

EV breakeven at 25,000-30,000 monthly volumes

EV business is expected to break even at monthly volumes of 25,000-30,000 units, which is a couple of years away.

growth

Two new affordable EV products in H1 FY26

Two new affordable EV products are planned for launch in the first half of FY26, likely in July.

expansion

Industry growth of high single-digit in FY27

Management expects the two-wheeler industry to grow at a high single-digit rate in FY27, with scooters growing slightly faster than motorcycles.

growth

Company to outgrow industry in FY27

Hero MotoCorp expects to grow ahead of the industry in both motorcycles and scooters, driven by new launches and capacity expansion.

growth

CapEx of INR 1,500 crore in FY27

The company has committed over INR 1,500 crore of capital expenditure in FY27 for capacity expansion in scooters, EV, and a global parts center.

capex

Medium-term EBITDA margin guidance of 14%-16%

Management reaffirmed its medium-term margin guidance of 14%-16%, despite near-term commodity headwinds.

margins