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A source-linked quarter view: reported numbers, management language, guidance, and the risks that should carry forward.
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Revenue
₹8,50,40,17,00,000 Cr
verified against source
Revenue YoY
—
reported change
EBITDA
Pending
latest reported figure
Source
nse xbrl
record provenance
Actual signal trajectory
Where this quarter sits.
Quarter read
What the record says.
HDFC Bank's Q3 FY25 results reflect a challenging macro environment with tight liquidity and moderating urban demand. The bank reported robust average deposit growth of 15% YoY, outpacing loan growth of 8% YoY, as it continues to normalize its credit-deposit ratio. Net interest margins remained range-bound near 3.4%, with headwinds from tight liquidity and CASA compression offset by lower borrowing costs. Asset quality remained stable, with PCR excluding agri at 71%, though agri slippages were seasonally elevated. Management reiterated its glide path: FY25 loan growth below system, FY26 in line, and FY27 above system. Key risks include persistent margin pressure from deposit mix shift and potential stress in unsecured segments, though management expressed confidence in portfolio stability.
Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.
Guidance to track
- Management reiterated its glide path: loan growth will be slower than the system in FY25, in line in FY26, and faster in FY27, as the credit-deposit ratio normalizes.
- The bank expects to maintain deposit growth ahead of loan growth to further reduce the credit-deposit ratio, supported by strong liability franchise.
- Management aims to keep cost growth tight through productivity improvements, while continuing investments in branches, people, and technology.
Risks flagged
- CASA ratio continues to decline as customers shift to term deposits in a high-rate environment, pressuring NIMs despite lower borrowing costs.
- The bank faces a ~1% shortfall in priority sector lending for small/marginal farmers and weaker sections, which may require costly PSLC purchases or RIDF contributions.
- While management asserts stability, the unsecured portfolio is written off at 150 days, implying rapid provisioning if delinquencies rise, which could impact earnings.
Key quotes
- We are in the midst of a very challenging macro environment with tight liquidity conditions, signs of moderating urban demand, a tepid private capital expenditure programs, volatility and depreciation of the Indian rupee.
- We have a choice to make in terms of whether we want the holistic customer relationship that includes time deposit, which grew at 22.7% in this quarter, or we don't get that time deposit and look for only CASA so that the margin can go up.
- We are on track... You will see this in FY26. You will see a step up. And FY27, you will see a further step up.
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