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What the record says.
HDFC Bank's Q2 FY26 results reflect steady progress in loan growth and deposit market share gains, with NIM compression of 8bps due to front-loaded asset repricing. Management highlighted disciplined pricing and a focus on granular retail deposits (83% of total). Asset quality remains healthy with GNPA at 1.24%, aided by a one-off upgrade of 10bps. The bank added INR 1,600 crore in contingent provisions, strengthening buffers. Fee income grew ~9% YoY, driven by broad-based activity. Guidance points to NIM improvement over 6-12 months as deposit repricing plays out, with cost of funds expected to decline further. The bank targets LDR below 90% and aims to grow faster than the system from FY27. Key risks include prolonged competitive pressure on home loan pricing and slower-than-expected deposit repricing. Management expressed optimism on economic recovery but remained cautious on unsecured lending.
Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.
Guidance to track
- Management expects NIM to improve as deposit repricing tailwinds play out over the next 4-5 quarters, with cost of funds declining further.
- Strategic objective to bring loan-to-deposit ratio below 90% from current ~96%, with loan growth at market rate in FY26 and faster than system in FY27.
- Management expects home loan growth to align with industry over the next 18-24 months, without compromising on pricing discipline.
- ROA improvement expected from cost of funds tailwinds and operating leverage from technology investments over 3-5 years.
Risks flagged
- Aggressive rate cuts by competitors post-RBI rate reduction pressured home loan yields; management chose not to participate, risking market share.
- Cost of funds declined only 18-19bps in Q2, less than some peers, due to longer duration of term deposits; full benefit may take 4-5 quarters.
- Management remains cautious on personal loans and credit card revolvers, with revolver rates declining; any economic slowdown could increase delinquencies.
- Draft ECL guidelines may require higher provisions despite bank's strong models, potentially offsetting capital benefits from other regulatory changes.
Key quotes
- Our USP continues to be our very healthy asset quality, and we don't see too much of issues in that, even in our early indicators as well.
- We will not do anything only to get market share gain. That has never been our philosophy.
- The space on the ROA comes from cost of funds because that's where the merger benefit comes a lot on the P&L.
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