HAPPYFORGE / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Happy Forgings · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Medium-term revenue growth of 15-18%

Management expects 15-18% revenue growth from new business wins, contingent on market recovery.

growth

Capex of ₹300 crore in FY26 (excluding solar)

Capital expenditure plan of ₹300 crore for the year, with ₹120 crore already spent in Q1.

capex

PV segment to reach 8-10% of revenue in 2 years

Passenger vehicle segment expected to grow from 6% to 8-10% of total revenues over next two years.

growth

Front axle beam revenue of ₹30-40 crore in FY26

Front axle beam business expected to generate ₹30-40 crore revenue this year, ramping to ₹50-60 crore next year.

revenue

Revenue run-rate improvement from Q4 FY26

Management expects better revenue run-rate from Q4 FY26, driven by new project ramp-ups starting Q3.

revenue

PV segment to contribute 8-10% of revenue within 2 years

Passenger vehicle segment, currently 5% of revenue, is expected to reach 8-10% within two years, supported by SUV platform ramp-up.

growth

₹650 crore capex program on schedule

The strategic capex program is progressing on schedule, with first phase (₹550 crore) expected to be operational from Q3 FY27.

capex

Inorganic acquisition likely in 6-8 months

Management is evaluating 2-3 opportunities and expects to close a strategically aligned acquisition in the next 6-8 months.

expansion

FY27 Capex of ~₹400 crore (excluding solar)

Management expects total capex for FY27 to be close to ₹400 crore, excluding solar project; including solar it will be ~₹480 crore.

capex

Incremental annual business of ₹800 crore from FY27

New and incremental peak annual business of approximately ₹800 crore expected to commence from FY27, scaling over 2-3 years, with 80-85% execution by FY28.

revenue

EBITDA margin range of 29-31% medium-term

Management expects EBITDA margins to remain in a sustained range of 29-31% over the medium term, with potential improvement from export mix and solar project.

margins

Solar project to reduce power cost by ₹25-30 crore annually

Captive solar plant (80 acres) expected to be operational from Q3 FY28, reducing power cost by ₹25-30 crore per annum on full utilization.

other