GRASIM / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Grasim · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24

At least 2-3 plants will be commissioned this year, with total capacity of 630 million liters.

expansion

CapEx of INR 5,791 crore in FY24

Includes INR 4,283 crore for paints business; peak debt expected around INR 8,000-10,000 crore gross.

capex

Chlor-alkali capacity expansion to 1.5M MT by Q1 FY25

Expansion from 1.3M MT delayed due to monsoon; commissioning expected by Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25.

expansion

Epoxy specialty capacity doubling with 12-month ramp-up

New capacity will be commissioned in Q2 FY24; full operational capacity expected in 12 months with 20-25% quarterly increments.

growth

Paints: High single-digit market share by FY25 end

Management reiterated target of achieving high single-digit market share by end of FY25.

growth

Paints: 50,000 active dealers by FY25 end

Target to have 50,000 active dealers by end of FY25, currently on track.

expansion

Renewables: Double capacity to 2 GW by FY25 end

Renewable energy capacity to double from 1 GW to 2 GW by end of FY25.

growth

B2B e-commerce: $1 billion revenue in three years

Birla Pivot aims to reach $1 billion in revenue within three years.

revenue

Paint business: 6th plant commercial launch by Q2 FY26

Trial production at Kharagpur plant has begun; commercial launch expected by end of Q2 FY26, raising total capacity to 1,332 million liters per annum.

expansion

B2B e-commerce: $1B revenue by FY27

Birla Pivot's annualized revenue run rate is on track to achieve INR 8,500 crore ($1 billion) by FY27.

revenue

Chemicals: ECH and CPVC plants mechanical completion in Q3 FY26

The ECH and CPVC plants with Lubrizol will achieve mechanical completion in Q3 FY26.

expansion

Lyocell project completion by late 2027

The Lyocell project in the Cellulosic Fiber business remains on track for completion by late 2027.

expansion

Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24

Three plants (Panipat, Ludhiana, Cheyyar) have received consent to operate and will be operational in Q4 FY24, with product launch in the same quarter.

expansion

Epoxy capacity expansion commissioning in Q3 FY24

The expanded epoxy capacity is under commissioning and expected to be operational in Q3 FY24.

expansion

Renewables capacity of ~1 GW to be commissioned by Q1 FY25

Projects under implementation of about 1 GW are expected to be commissioned by next year's first quarter.

expansion

Debt-to-EBITDA not to exceed ~3.5x

Even with full paints CapEx next fiscal, debt-to-EBITDA is not expected to cross about 3.5x.

other

Paints: exit FY25 with high single-digit market share

Birla Opus is on track to achieve high single-digit market share in decorative paints by end of FY25, with three plants commissioned and two more starting trial runs.

growth

Birla Pivot: $1 billion revenue in three years

B2B e-commerce platform targeting $1 billion revenue within three years from FY24, with current ramp-up ahead of expectations.

revenue

UltraTech: 200 MTPA cement capacity by FY27

UltraTech on track to achieve gray cement capacity of over 200 million tons per annum by FY27, including acquisitions.

expansion

Net debt to EBITDA at 3.5x

Management guided net debt to EBITDA of about 3.5x, with balance rights issue of ₹2,000 crore expected in Q4.

other

Paints: #2 revenue market share and profitability within 3 years of full-scale operations

Management reaffirmed commitment to achieve number two revenue market share and profitability within three years of full-scale operations, with no change in strategy post CEO resignation.

growth

Paints: double-digit QoQ growth in Q3 FY26

Management guided for continued double-digit sequential growth in Q3, citing strong September and October sales momentum.

revenue

Birla Pivot: likely to achieve INR 8,500 crore revenue target sooner than FY27

CEO indicated a likely chance of reaching the billion-dollar (INR 8,500 crore) milestone earlier than the stated FY27 target, though no formal revision yet.

revenue

Chemicals: ECH and CPVC plants to contribute meaningfully from Q1 FY27

Mechanical completion expected by Q3 FY26, with meaningful contribution from first quarter of next financial year.

growth

Paints launch in Q4 FY24 with pan-India distribution by FY25 end

Birla Opus will launch in Q4 FY24 starting with North and South India, targeting national distribution by end of FY25.

expansion

Net debt-to-EBITDA to reach 3-3.5x post paints capex

Management guided net debt-to-EBITDA of 3-3.5x after completing paints capex and rights issue proceeds.

other

Capex guidance of INR 5,900 crore for FY24

Management reiterated plant capex guidance of about INR 5,900 crore for FY24, with 76% allocated to paints.

capex

Paints breakeven within three years of full-scale operations

Birla Opus targets breakeven within three years after all plants are fully operational, with first year being the heaviest investment period.

margins

Net debt-to-EBITDA not to exceed 3-3.5x

Management reiterated a net debt-to-EBITDA ceiling of 3-3.5x, which will guide future capex decisions.

other

Cement capacity of 200 MTPA by FY27

UltraTech remains on track to achieve domestic grey cement capacity of over 200 million tonnes per annum by FY27.

expansion

Lyocell first phase 55 KTPA by mid-2027

Board approved 110 KTPA lyocell capacity at Harihar; first phase of 55 KTPA to be executed by mid-2027 at INR 1,350 crore investment.

expansion

Birla Opus revenue target of INR 10,000 crore by FY28

Management reiterated achieving INR 10,000 crore revenue in the third full year of operations (FY28).

revenue

Birla Opus profitability target within three years

Targeting to become a profitable number two player within three years of full-scale operation.

margins

Birla Pivot breakeven by FY27 exit

Birla Pivot expects to exit FY27 at breakeven level.

growth

Renewable energy share target of 40% in chemicals by FY27

Targeting renewable energy share in chemicals to reach over 40% by end of FY27.

other

Paints: High single-digit market share by FY25 exit

Birla Opus aims to exit FY25 with high single-digit market share, supported by dealer onboarding and product quality.

growth

Paints: INR 10,000 crore revenue by FY28

Target to achieve INR 10,000 crore revenue in the third year of full operations, with profitability at that point.

revenue

B2B E-commerce: $1 billion revenue in 3 years

Birla Pivot aspires to reach $1 billion revenue in the next three years.

revenue

Standalone CapEx of ~INR 4,500 crore in FY25

Majority allocated to paints business; part of the INR 10,000 crore paints CapEx plan.

capex

Birla Opus to achieve double-digit market share in FY26

Management aspires for Birla Opus standalone to reach double-digit revenue market share in FY26, up from high single digits currently.

growth

Birla Opus breakeven at INR 10,000 crore revenue

The paint business is expected to break even at an EBITDA level when it reaches INR 10,000 crore in revenue within three years of full-scale operations.

margins

Birla Pivot to break even at $1 billion (INR 8,500 crore) scale

The B2B e-commerce platform expects to achieve EBITDA breakeven at an annual run rate of INR 8,500 crore.

margins

Kharagpur paint plant commercial launch in H1 FY26

The sixth paint plant at Kharagpur is scheduled to be commercially launched in H1 FY26, adding 236 MLPA capacity.

expansion