GLAND / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Gland Pharma · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

U.S. sequential growth expected

Management expects steady sequential growth in U.S. revenue, with no decline anticipated.

revenue

Cenexi margin improvement in 1-2 quarters

Cenexi EBITDA margins are expected to improve in the next 1-2 quarters through operational efficiencies.

margins

Enoxaparin run rate to normalize from Q2

Enoxaparin sales are expected to pick up from next quarter as inventory rationalization ends.

revenue

40+ product launches planned for FY24

Total product launches in FY24 will be higher than normal due to relaunches, exceeding 40.

growth

Base business mid-teens revenue growth for FY25

Management expects base business (ex-Cenexi) to grow in mid-teens for the full fiscal year.

revenue

Base business EBITDA margin 30-33% for FY25

Management guided base business EBITDA margin in the range of 30-33% for the full year.

margins

Cenexi positive EBITDA by Q4 FY25

Cenexi is expected to achieve positive EBITDA by the fourth quarter of this fiscal year.

margins

Cenexi revenue to exceed EUR 200 million in FY26

Cenexi expects revenue to exceed EUR 200 million in the next fiscal year, driving positive EBITDA.

revenue

Cenexi positive EBITDA by Q3 FY26

Management expects Cenexi to deliver positive EBITDA in Q3 FY26, with Q2 being lower due to summer shutdown.

margins

Mid-teen overall revenue growth for FY26

Management reiterated guidance for mid-teen consolidated revenue growth for the full year, driven by U.S. launches and Cenexi recovery.

revenue

GLP-1 cartridge capacity expansion to 140M by Mar'26

The new 100 million cartridge line will be ready for commercialization by March 2026, adding to the existing 40 million capacity.

capex

20 million GLP-1 units commercialization in FY27

Management expects to commercialize around 20 million pens/cartridges in FY27, primarily for RoW markets.

growth

Base business EBITDA margin target of 30-32%

Management expects base business EBITDA margins to remain in the 30-32% range, with potential slight decline as lower-margin Enoxaparin supplies resume.

margins

Cenexi revenue run rate of EUR 50-55 million per quarter

CFO guided that Cenexi's normalized quarterly revenue should be around EUR 50-55 million on a full quarter basis.

revenue

EUR 60 million investment in Cenexi over 12-18 months

Planned investment of EUR 60 million in CapEx and working capital to enhance capacity and operational efficiencies at Cenexi.

capex

Steady sequential revenue growth for base business

Management expects steady quarter-on-quarter growth in the base business, driven by new launches and volume expansion.

growth

Low double-digit revenue growth for FY25

Management expects full-year revenue growth in low double-digits, driven by new launches, Saudi recovery, and steady U.S. base business.

revenue

Cenexi positive EBITDA by Q4 FY25

Cenexi targets positive EBITDA in Q4 FY25, supported by new ampoule line commercial production starting January 2025.

margins

Cenexi EBITDA breakeven next fiscal year

Cenexi aims for EBITDA breakeven in FY26, driven by revenue above EUR 200 million threshold.

margins

Biologics CDMO initial benefits from Q1 FY26

The Dr. Reddy's biologics CDMO collaboration is expected to generate initial financial benefits from Q1 FY26.

growth

Mid-teens consolidated revenue growth for FY26

Management reaffirmed mid-teens revenue growth guidance for FY26, driven by new launches (dalbavancin, colistimethate) and Cenexi improvement.

revenue

Cenexi break-even in Q3 FY26

Cenexi is expected to break even in Q3 FY26, supported by EUR 50 million quarterly revenue target and cost initiatives.

margins

Cenexi EBITDA improvement year-on-year

Cenexi EBITDA losses reduced to EUR 5 million in H1 from EUR 11 million last year; management expects continued improvement.

margins

CapEx of INR 2,500M for base business in FY26

Expected CapEx for Gland base business is approximately INR 2,500 million for FY26, focused on capacity expansion.

capex

Cenexi EBITDA breakeven in 12-15 months

Management expects Cenexi to achieve EBITDA breakeven within 12-15 months, with medium-term EBITDA margin target of 10%.

margins

Cenexi incremental revenue of EUR 30-40 million by FY2026

New programs in tech transfer and approval stages are expected to add EUR 30-40 million to Cenexi's annual revenue in the medium term.

revenue

Base business mid-teens growth target

Ex-Cenexi business targets mid-teens revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by US complex products and CDMO opportunities.

growth

Cenexi CapEx of EUR 30 million

Cenexi will invest approximately EUR 30 million in new equipment and capacity expansion over the next year.

capex

Cenexi EBITDA breakeven by Q3 FY26

Cenexi is expected to achieve positive EBITDA by Q3 FY26, delayed from earlier Q4 FY25 guidance due to ANSM inspection impact.

margins

Cenexi revenue run rate of EUR 15M per quarter

Management targets Cenexi quarterly revenue above EUR 15 million to support EBITDA breakeven, driven by new high-speed lines.

revenue

Biologics CDMO revenue from Dr. Reddy's from FY26

Collaboration with Dr. Reddy's for biologics CDMO is expected to generate incremental revenue starting next financial year (FY26).

growth

15KL additional biologics capacity for Henlius

Planned expansion of biologics drug substance capacity by 15KL to support the Shanghai Henlius collaboration, with revenue likely from FY27-28.

capex

FY27 organic growth of 12-13%

Management expects base business to grow 12-13% in FY27, with potential upside from European CMS approvals and Dalbavancin launch.

revenue

Five-year organic CAGR of 15%

Company targets 15% organic CAGR over five years, excluding inorganic contributions, driven by capacity expansions and CDMO contracts.

growth

INR 2,000 crore CapEx over five years

Brownfield expansions include BFS, ophthalmic lines, and CDMO-dedicated capacity; FY27 CapEx expected >INR 400 crore.

capex

Cenexi annualized revenue run-rate of EUR 200M

Cenexi expected to maintain EUR 50 million quarterly run-rate on an annualized basis, with positive EBITDA trajectory.

revenue

Base business annual growth of 14-15%

Management expects the base business (ex-Cenexi) to grow at 14-15% annually, driven by new launches and market share gains.

growth

Cenexi to reach high-teen EBITDA margins in 1-2 years

Cenexi targets high-teen EBITDA margins within 1-2 years through operational fixes, tech transfers, and capacity expansion.

margins

Cenexi quarterly revenue to ramp to EUR 50M in ~3 quarters

Cenexi's quarterly revenue is expected to gradually increase from EUR 40M to EUR 50M in about three quarters.

revenue

Mid-teens consolidated revenue growth in FY26

Management expects consolidated revenue to grow in the mid-teens percentage range in FY26, driven by new launches, CMO projects, and biologics.

revenue

Cenexi positive EBITDA by Q3 FY26

Cenexi is targeting to achieve positive EBITDA by the third quarter of FY26, with double-digit EBITDA margins expected in FY27.

margins

Biologics revenue of INR 100 crore in FY26

The biologics segment, including the Dr. Reddy's collaboration, is expected to contribute approximately INR 100 crore in revenue in FY26.

revenue

GLP-1 cartridge capacity expansion to 140M units by CY26

Gland is adding 100 million units of cartridge capacity, reaching 140 million units total by calendar year 2026, to support GLP-1 contracts.

capex

FY27 consolidated revenue growth of 12-13% constant currency

Management expects 12-13% revenue growth in FY27 on constant currency basis, excluding GLP-1 upside.

revenue

Cenexi FY27 EBITDA margin mid-single to high-single digit

Cenexi targets mid-single to high-single digit EBITDA margin for FY27, improving from current positive EBITDA.

margins

Cenexi medium-term EBITDA margin mid-teen

Cenexi aims for mid-teen EBITDA margin in the medium term, driven by capacity additions and operational efficiencies.

margins

CapEx of INR 500 crores in FY27

Capital expenditure for FY27 expected to be around INR 500 crores, part of INR 2,000 crores over five years.

capex