FORTIS / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Fortis Healthcare · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Hospital EBITDA margin target of 18-20%

Management reiterated guidance for hospital EBITDA margins to trend towards 18-20% in coming quarters, despite Q1 margin of 15.2%.

margins

ARPOB growth of 4-5% for FY24

Management expects ARPOB to grow 4-5% for the full year, moderating from Q1's 12% growth due to base effects.

revenue

Occupancy to trend towards 70% over 2-3 years

Management expects occupancy to reach 70% over the medium term, supported by bed additions and ramp-up.

growth

Addition of ~1,400 beds over 2-3 years

Planned bed additions of 300-400 per year, primarily brownfield expansions in NCR, Mulund, and Kolkata.

expansion

Hospital EBITDA margin target of 20%+ for FY25

Management reiterated guidance for hospital business EBITDA margins to exceed 20% for the full year, despite Q1 margin of 18.5% impacted by one-offs and mix.

margins

Agilus rebranding spend of INR 50 crore in FY25

Agilus plans to spend approximately INR 50 crore on rebranding expenses this fiscal year, which will be treated as one-off costs.

other

Manesar 350-bed facility to be operational in Q2 FY25

The acquired Manesar facility is expected to start operations in the ongoing quarter, initially with 100 beds, ramping up to full capacity over 18 months.

expansion

Agilus to return to industry growth by next year

Management expects Agilus to consolidate during FY25 and return to industry-level growth in FY26, driven by brand recovery and network expansion.

growth

Hospital EBITDA margin improvement of ~200 bps for FY26

Management reiterated guidance of 200 bps margin expansion for the hospital business in FY26, supported by case mix improvement and operational efficiencies.

margins

Diagnostics EBITDA margin of 22-23% for FY26

Management expects diagnostics EBITDA margins to remain in the 22-23% range for the full year, with Q2 typically stronger.

margins

Add ~900 beds in FY26, ~50% operationalized this year

Fortis plans to add approximately 900 beds in FY26, including the recently acquired Shrimann Superspecialty Hospital, with about half becoming operational in the current fiscal.

expansion

Diagnostics revenue growth to reach low double-digits in 6-8 quarters

Agilus expects revenue growth to trend in the high single-digits over the next few quarters, moving to early double-digits in 6-8 quarters.

growth

20% hospital EBITDA margin by FY25

Management reiterated its target of achieving 20% EBITDA margin for the hospital business in the next financial year, driven by occupancy ramp-up and cost control.

margins

70% occupancy exit rate in FY24

The company expects to exit FY24 with occupancy around 70%, despite seasonal fluctuations and new bed additions.

growth

250 beds to be added in FY24

Brownfield expansions at Mulund, Anandapur, BG Road, and Ludhiana will add approximately 250 beds in the current financial year.

expansion

1,800 beds in pipeline over 3-4 years

Total brownfield bed pipeline increased to 1,800 beds, including new projects at Mohali (400 beds) and Shalimar Bagh, plus Manesar (350 beds) over 2.5-3 years.

expansion

Hospital EBITDA margin expansion of 200 bps for FY25

Management reaffirmed guidance of 200 bps margin expansion for the hospital business for the full year, factoring in initial losses from Manesar.

margins

Agilus EBITDA margin target of 25-26% by FY27-28

Agilus aims to achieve 25-26% EBITDA margins in 15-18 months, driven by operating leverage and cost optimization.

margins

Brownfield bed additions of 350-400 beds in FY26

Management expects to add 350-400 beds in FY26 through brownfield expansions at Noida, FMRI, Anandapur, and BG Road.

expansion

Capex of INR 800-900 crore per year for FY25 and FY26

Annual capex includes maintenance and growth capex for both years, supporting brownfield expansions and equipment upgrades.

capex

Hospital EBITDA margin to exceed initial guidance of 20.5-22.5%

Management indicated possibility of higher margin improvement than guided at the beginning of the year, driven by ramp-up of new units.

margins

Organic bed addition of 400-500 beds in FY26

Company added 550 operational beds in H1 FY26 and expects full-year addition of 400-500 beds.

growth

Diagnostics EBITDA margin of 23-24% for full year FY26

Agilus CFO guided margins to be around 23-24% for the full year, based on H1 performance of 24%.

margins

ARPOB growth of 5-6% in H2 FY26

Management expects ARPOB growth of 5-6% in second half, driven by mix improvement and robotic surgeries.

growth

Hospital EBITDA margin target of 20% by end of FY24

Management expects to achieve 20% EBITDA margin for the hospital business by year-end, driven by occupancy improvement and cost optimization.

margins

Long-term hospital EBITDA margin target of 25% in 3-4 years

Over the next 3-4 years, as brownfield bed expansions ramp up, management aims for 25% EBITDA margin.

margins

~2,200 brownfield beds over next 4 years

Brownfield bed expansion plan to add ~2,200 beds, with ~710 beds expected in FY25, including the Manesar acquisition.

expansion

Occupancy expected to trend toward 70% in coming quarters

Management expects occupancy to recover to ~70% in Q4 FY24 and next year, driven by seasonal recovery and international patient rebound.

growth

Hospital margin guidance of 20.5% for FY25

Management expects hospital EBITDA margin to reach 20.5% for the full year FY25, with a medium-term target of 25%.

margins

Diagnostics margin guidance of 21-22% for FY25

Agilus Diagnostics is expected to deliver adjusted EBITDA margin of 21-22% for FY25.

margins

Manesar greenfield to break even by Q1 FY26

The Manesar facility, currently at INR 5 crore monthly revenue, is expected to break even at INR 9 crore per month by Q1 FY26.

growth

Agilus to reach industry growth of 8-10% by Q2 FY26

Agilus expects to return to industry-level growth of 8-10% by Q2 FY26, driven by volume growth.

growth

Brownfield bed addition of 400+ beds in FY27

Targeting over 400 brownfield beds next year, primarily from FMRI expansion (200 beds) and other facilities.

expansion

ARPOB growth of 4-5% expected for next two years

Management expects ARPOB to grow 4-5% annually, driven by case mix and price increases.

growth

IHH equity infusion likely in 3-6 months

IHH may infuse fresh equity via preferential allotment to strengthen balance sheet for growth.

other

FY25 EBITDA margin improvement of ~200bps YoY

Hospital operating EBITDA margin expected to improve by ~200bps in FY25, building on FY24's 18.6% (hospital) and 18.4% consolidated.

margins

Brownfield bed addition of ~700 beds in FY25

Includes 50 beds each at Faridabad and Kalyan, 100 beds at Manesar (Q2), 100 beds at Kolkata (Q1), and beds at BG Road (Q2).

expansion

Medium-term ARPOB growth of 4-5%

ARPOB growth expected to moderate to 4-5% in medium term from 10.8% in FY24, driven by 2-2.5% price increases and case mix improvement.

growth

Agilus put option resolution by Q2 FY25

Management expects to finalize the put option (due Oct 2024) by August-September 2024, with options including IPO revival or buyout via debt/equity.

other

Hospital revenue growth of 14-15% in FY26

Management expects hospital revenue to grow 14-15% in FY26, with ARPOB growth of 5-6% and volume growth making up the balance.

revenue

Hospital EBITDA margin expansion of ~200bps in FY26

Management guided for ~200bps margin expansion in the hospital business for FY26, similar to the improvement seen in FY25.

margins

Agilus double-digit revenue growth and 23% EBITDA margin in FY26

Management targets double-digit revenue growth for Agilus in FY26, with EBITDA margin (net) around 23%, moving towards 25% in a couple of years.

growth

~1,000 bed additions in FY26

Management plans to add approximately 1,000 beds in FY26 through brownfield expansions at Noida, Faridabad, Manesar, FMRI, and BG Road.

expansion