FINKURVE / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

Finkurve Financial Services · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

High cost of funds

Finance cost at 15% vs industry 11-12% due to low leverage and credit rating; may persist until leverage normalizes.

medium

NIM contraction from low leverage

NIMs contracted sharply as leverage remains low (1.67x); further contraction possible until leverage reaches 3-4x.

medium

Gold price dependency

AUM growth partly driven by gold price rise; if prices stabilize or fall, growth may slow.

medium

Execution risk in branch expansion

Aggressive branch expansion (50-60 new branches) may strain management bandwidth and asset quality.

low