Sustained Crude Volatility and Margin Compression
Sharp crude price movements have compressed spreads to near EBITDA-neutral levels in March, and uncertainty persists.
Filatex India · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Sharp crude price movements have compressed spreads to near EBITDA-neutral levels in March, and uncertainty persists.
A ₹13 crore forex loss in Q4 highlights exposure to MEG/PTA imports; hedging costs 3.5-4% annually.
Customer validation cycles take 4-6 months; full capacity utilization may be delayed if approvals lag.
Migrant labor shortages due to LPG cylinder costs and elections have disrupted operations, though improving.