Cyber fraud incident
A cyber fraud of ₹11.15 crore was detected in Q1; ₹4.95 crore charged as exceptional item. Recovery of ~₹8.5 crore is expected but not guaranteed.
Enviro Infra Engineers · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
A cyber fraud of ₹11.15 crore was detected in Q1; ₹4.95 crore charged as exceptional item. Recovery of ~₹8.5 crore is expected but not guaranteed.
Analyst raised concern about stressed government finances impacting receivables. Management acknowledged past delays in JJM scheme but said worst is over.
An investor flagged a recent litigation/arbitration with Karnataka. Management explained it as a routine contractual dispute, but outcome is uncertain.
Order book more than doubled YoY to ₹2,551 crore; management expects 80-85% conversion of old orders this year, but execution delays could impact revenue.
Only ₹248 crore order won in Q3 vs. ₹1,200 crore in H1; several large bids (Bihar, Delhi) are delayed or rebid, impacting revenue visibility.
Achieving ₹600-650 crore in Q4 requires a 2.4x sequential jump; January run-rate of ₹120 crore suggests execution risk, especially in renewables where only ₹10 crore was recognized in 9M.
Unbilled revenue and receivables stood at ~₹225 crore; management targets OCF positive by year-end but Q4 revenue surge may strain cash conversion.
Renewable revenue guidance of ₹200 crore relies on project completion and debt funding; management clarified no further equity infusion from parent beyond ₹75 crore.