DODLA / Q3-FY26 / risks

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Dodla Dairy · Material risks, their source context, and severity in the latest available quarter.

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WatchQ3-FY26 · 2026-02-10Back to quarter ↗

Risk intelligence

Material risks this quarter

Prolonged milk shortage and procurement cost inflation

Erratic rainfall and lack of flush season have driven procurement costs up ₹2.5/liter sequentially, with no immediate relief expected.

high

Inability to pass on cost increases due to subdued demand

Management delayed price hikes to maintain market share, compressing margins. If summer demand remains weak, margin recovery may be delayed.

high

Execution risk in Maharashtra and Uganda expansions

Large capex projects (₹280 crore in Maharashtra, ₹50-60 crore in Uganda) face timeline and cost overrun risks.

medium

Potential El Niño impact on milk supply and costs

El Niño could lead to severe summers and further milk shortages, increasing procurement costs and pressuring margins.

medium