DODLA / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Dodla Dairy · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

EBITDA margin guidance of 8-10% for H2 FY26

Management expects to maintain EBITDA margins between 8% and 10% in the second half, barring weather-related disruptions.

margins

India standalone revenue growth of 5-6% in H2

India standalone revenue is expected to grow at 5-6% in the second half due to winter seasonality impacting value-added products.

revenue

Maharashtra plant to scale to 2 lakh litres/day in 2 years

The Maharashtra facility currently processes 1.2 lakh litres/day and is targeted to reach 2 lakh litres/day within two years, with breakeven expected in 3-4 quarters.

expansion

Price hike of ₹2-3/liter expected in summer

Management plans to increase milk prices by ₹2-3 per liter once summer demand picks up, to offset higher procurement costs.

revenue

Maharashtra plant to start commercial operations by end of FY27

The Maharashtra greenfield project is on track, with ₹69 crore already spent out of ₹280 crore total capex. First-year revenue potential of ₹500-600 crore.

expansion

Uganda greenfield expansion to generate revenue by end of FY28

A new 3 lakh liter/day plant near Kampala will focus on fresh milk and yogurt, with phase one capex of ₹50-60 crore funded by internal accruals.

expansion

Value-added product mix target of 30-32% over long term

Management aims to increase VAP share from current 25% to 30-32% through paneer, curd, and ice cream growth.

growth

FY27 revenue growth in low-to-mid teens

Driven by 8-9% organic India growth, Africa's current trajectory, and full-year contribution from OSAM.

revenue

Gross margin recovery of 50-100 bps over FY26

Expected as procurement normalizes and pricing actions take effect.

margins

Effective tax rate to normalize to 25-27%

Post completion of favorable tax orders received in FY26.

other

Africa to scale to 15-18% of consolidated revenue by FY28

Supported by Phase 2 expansion in Uganda (pasteurized milk and products).

expansion