CUMMINSIND / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Cummins India · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Double-digit revenue growth for FY25

Management expects full-year revenue growth of 12-14%, in line with 2x GDP growth ambition.

revenue

CPCB IV+ transition complete from Q2

Channel inventory of CPCB II is zero; from Q2 onwards, only CPCB IV+ sets will be sold.

other

Distribution business growth sustainable for a decade

Management sees distribution business growing at >20% CAGR for at least a decade, driven by service and parts.

growth

Double-digit revenue growth for FY26

Management expects full-year revenue growth in double digits, driven by sustained domestic demand and cautious export optimism.

revenue

Sustained gross margin levels

Management aims to maintain current gross margins, supported by volume leverage and cost optimization, though competitive pricing remains a watch.

margins

Continued CapEx investment

CapEx will continue at similar levels to recent years (around INR 225 crore annually) for capacity expansion and line upgrades.

capex

Double-digit revenue growth for FY25

Management expects overall revenue to grow in double digits for the full fiscal year 2024-25.

revenue

Double-digit revenue growth for FY26

Management expects full-year revenue growth in double digits over FY25, despite lumpy data center execution and export softness.

revenue

Data center execution lumpy; H2 likely lower than Q2

Data center project execution in Q2 was unusually high; management does not expect similar levels in H2.

growth

Export order intake softening due to inventory correction

Management sees softening in export orders in the coming quarter due to channel inventory correction in end markets.

growth

Double-digit revenue growth for FY25

Management expects full-year revenue growth to be double-digit over FY24.

revenue

Pricing to settle in 1-2 quarters

Pricing for CPCB IV+ products will take another 1-2 quarters to stabilize.

other

Continuous CapEx for manufacturing and new products

CapEx will be added as needed for manufacturing capability and new product introductions.

capex

Double-digit revenue growth for FY26

Management expects double-digit revenue growth over previous fiscal year, supported by demand across key segments.

revenue

Target double-digit domestic growth for FY27

Domestic business targets double-digit growth in FY27, driven by infrastructure and data center demand.

growth

Double-digit revenue growth in FY26

Management expects overall revenue to grow at double-digit rate in FY2025-26, driven by domestic demand across power gen, distribution, and industrial segments.

revenue

Capex to remain in similar range as FY25

Capital expenditure for FY26 is expected to be around INR 340 crore, similar to FY25, primarily for sustenance and line upgrades.

capex

Distribution business to grow double-digit or better

Management is positive on distribution business growth, expecting it to continue at double-digit or higher rate, driven by penetration and new products.

growth