Motor TP premium revision delay
Absence of motor third-party premium increase for 4-5 years, combined with rising minimum wages and medical inflation, could further increase claims severity.
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings · risk themes across the available quarters.
Bear-case history
Absence of motor third-party premium increase for 4-5 years, combined with rising minimum wages and medical inflation, could further increase claims severity.
Motor OD claims ratio rose ~10% for Chola MS vs 5-7% industry, reflecting competitive intensity and pricing inadequacy.
Transition to IND-AS from April 2027 will cause a significant drop in combined ratio in the adoption year, though it levels out over time.
Potential reduction in expense of management (EUM) limits may lower intermediation costs but also reduce premium and float income, impacting ROE.