Carraro India / Q3-FY26

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Positive2026-02-10Back to CARRARO

Revenue

₹570 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

21%

reported change

EBITDA

₹176.5 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

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EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
4 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q1 FY26: 54.8 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-08-07Q1 FY26Q2 FY26: 59.3 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-11-14Q2 FY26Q3 FY26: 176.5 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-02-10Q3 FY26Q4 FY26: 247.5 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-05-15Q4 FY26247.554.8
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

Carraro India delivered a strong Q3 FY26 with revenue growing 27% YoY to ₹569.6 crore and EBITDA surging 71% YoY to ₹62.4 crore, driven by robust domestic demand for four-wheel drive axles and export growth in telehandler axles. For the 9-month period, revenue rose 21% YoY to ₹1,648.8 crore, with EBITDA up 28% YoY to ₹176.5 crore. Management upgraded FY26 revenue guidance to ~₹3,500 crore (from ₹3,200 crore), citing strong order visibility and capacity expansion. EBITDA margin improved 60 bps YoY to 10.6%, with a target of ~100 bps annual improvement. Key risks include export volatility in China/Latin America beyond two quarters and potential margin pressure from dynamic product mix during ramp-up.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • Management raised full-year revenue guidance from ₹3,200 crore to approximately ₹3,500 crore, driven by strong demand and execution.
  • Management reiterated target of ~100 bps annual EBITDA margin improvement, with possible variation of 10-15%.
  • Total capex for next fiscal year expected to be significantly higher than the ₹60 crore expansion capex, estimated at ₹130-140 crore.
  • Current localization at 78%, targeting 86-88% over the next 2-3 years to improve margins and supply chain resilience.

Risks flagged

  • Visibility for export demand in China and Latin America is limited to the next two quarters; beyond that, demand may fluctuate.
  • Management noted that product mix remains dynamic during ramp-up, which could delay margin improvement targets.
  • Significant volume spikes require 1-1.5 months lead time due to engineered product nature and supplier constraints, limiting near-term upside.
  • While recent duty reduction to 18% is positive, any change in US policy stance could impact indirect exports to the US market.

Key quotes

  • We are confident of possibly reaching but also exceeding the earlier guidance of 3,200 cr and we would be moving close to 3,500 cr.
  • We are in a growth phase... when any ramp up happens there is not going to be a very dramatic profitability change that will happen because the product mix is still very dynamic.
  • Our northstar remain 3,500 crores revenues in FY30. Those capex are simply instrumental to that.

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