CARERATINGS / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

CARE Ratings · risk themes across the available quarters.

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Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

Prolonged West Asia conflict impacting oil prices

Ongoing conflict in West Asia could keep oil prices elevated, pressuring India's economy through higher energy import costs and potential moderation in corporate borrowing.

high

Softening bond market and corporate bond issuances

Corporate bond issuances declined 3.2% for FY26 and 11.3% in Q4, which could impact rating fee growth if the trend continues.

medium

Inability to provide quantitative revenue split between initial and surveillance fees

Management declined to provide a quantitative split of initial vs surveillance fee growth, limiting visibility into underlying drivers.

low