CAPRIGLOBALCAPITAL / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

Capri Global Capital · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

Co-lending guideline impact

New RBI co-lending guidelines effective Jan 2026 may cause temporary slowdown in co-lending volumes for a couple of quarters as existing contracts expire and technology integration is completed.

medium

Gold price volatility

Sharp decline in gold prices could increase LTVs and require margin calls or auctions, though management believes a 10-15% crash in a single day is unlikely.

medium

Interest rate hike risk

Potential rate hikes post-election could limit further reduction in cost of funds, impacting NIM expansion.

low

Capital adequacy pressure

Capital adequacy declined due to subsidiary investment; management plans to use DA/co-lending and raise Tier-2 capital to maintain buffers.

low