BOSCHLTD / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Bosch · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Capex of INR 490 crore for FY24

Capital expenditure planned for the current year is approximately INR 4.9 billion, mainly for plant machinery and equipment.

capex

Localization of exhaust-gas treatment and injectors over 2-4 years

Management plans to localize production of exhaust-gas treatment components and injectors for commercial vehicles to improve margins.

margins

Employee cost trend at 8% of revenue

Employee cost as a percentage of revenue is expected to be around 8% for the financial year, normalizing after provision reversals.

margins

Full-year growth similar to FY2024

Management expects FY2025 performance to be similar to FY2024, with moderate growth despite election and high base effects.

revenue

NOx sensor SOP in April 2025

First localization of exhaust gas treatment component (NOx sensor) will start production in April 2025, with further localization under discussion.

expansion

Lambda sensor production to exceed 8 million pieces by 2025

Production of lambda sensors at Bidadi plant will ramp up from 1.2 million in 2021 to over 8 million annually by 2025.

growth

Power Tools India becomes independent region

India is now one of five independent regions within Bosch Power Tools, responsible for SAARC markets, with focus on cordless tools and exports from Chennai plant.

expansion

Continuous increase in localization content

Management reiterated commitment to increasing localization, with progress on track, though decisions depend on geopolitics and tariffs.

growth

Export growth target

Bosch aims to continuously increase exports, leveraging competitiveness in certain products like knock sensors and injectors, but no specific target given.

growth

EV technology leadership in India

Bosch plans to capitalize on EV trends in two-wheelers and three-wheelers, leveraging global portfolio and discussions with OEMs.

ai_strategy

CapEx of INR 350 crore for FY24

Management guided CapEx of INR 3.5 billion for FY24, mainly for localization in Common Rail and exhaust gas treatment.

capex

Mid-term localization to improve margins

Localization of Common Rail and exhaust gas treatment components over the next 4-5 years is expected to improve gross margins.

margins

Moderate growth expected in FY25 due to election year

Management anticipates moderate growth in FY25 due to election year dynamics, high base, and erratic rainfall.

growth

FY25 CapEx guidance of INR 400 crore

Management guided for full-year CapEx of approximately INR 4,000 million (INR 400 crore), lower than last year due to completion of the auto body campus.

capex

FY25 growth to mirror FY24 trajectory

Management expects FY25 growth to mirror FY24 levels, with moderate growth for the automotive industry despite high base and inventory buildup.

growth

TREM V localization readiness

Bosch is well prepared for TREM V norms (April 2026) with higher localization expected from the start, and capacity to handle pre-buy effects.

expansion

Two-wheeler OBD2 benefit expected for next two quarters

The strong growth from OBD2 norms is expected to continue for the next two quarters before normalizing.

growth

Hydrogen ICE market penetration 8-15% by 2030

Management expects hydrogen technology to achieve 8-15% market penetration in heavy commercial vehicles by 2030.

growth

Mobility aftermarket recovery in Q3

Sales in mobility aftermarket are expected to regain momentum in Q3 after GST 2.0 transition impact.

revenue

Moderate growth expected in 2024

Management expects slower market growth in 2024 due to high base, election uncertainties, and erratic rainfall.

growth

Next quarter flat to small growth

Management indicated Q4 FY24 may be flat or see very small growth.

revenue

TREM V norms expected by 2026

Management expects TREM V norms for tractors to be implemented in 2026, with Bosch fully ready.

other

PLI disbursements expected in 2024

Management expects PLI benefits to start flowing in 2024 after audits on domestic value-add.

other

Aftermarket growth target of 8-10% for FY26

Management expects the Mobility Aftermarket division to grow at 8-10% in FY26, driven by diesel components, lubricants, and filters.

growth

OBD-II implementation for two-wheelers from April 2025

Ramp-up of OBD-II norms for two-wheelers is on track for April 2025, with Bosch supplying exhaust gas sensors and engine management systems.

expansion

Restructuring provision of INR 47.1 crore in Q3

A one-time restructuring provision of INR 47.1 crore was booked in Q3 to improve competitiveness in the Mobility business; further adjustments may follow.

other

Record production levels expected for PV, tractors, and two-wheelers in FY26

Management expects passenger vehicles, tractors, and two-wheelers to achieve all-time high production levels in FY26, driven by strong economic fundamentals and supportive policies.

growth

Continued localization of components

Bosch plans to localize DeNOx sensors and other Common Rail components, following the localization of NOx sensors in 2025.

expansion

E-axle supply to OEMs in advanced discussions

Bosch is in advanced discussions with several OEMs to supply e-axles for electric four-wheelers in India, with announcements expected in coming quarters.

ai_strategy

Dividend payout ratio of 65%-80% of profit

Bosch has clarified its dividend policy, targeting a payout ratio of 65%-80% of profit, subject to board discretion.

other

Moderate growth expected in FY25 with Q1 slow due to elections

Management expects moderate growth for FY25, with Q1 impacted by elections and liquidity crunch, but recovery from Q2 onwards.

growth

CapEx to remain in INR 400-600 crore range

Annual capital expenditure is expected to continue in the range of INR 400-600 crore, supporting localization and other investments.

capex

EGT localization SOP in April 2025

Start of production for localized exhaust gas treatment components is expected in April 2025.

expansion

Building Technologies divestiture expected by Q1/Q2 2025

The divestiture of the Building Technologies business is expected to be completed by Q1 or Q2 of 2025.

other

NOx sensor capacity of 2.1 million units per year by 2027

New Gen3 line at Bidadi will scale to 2.1 million sensors annually by 2027, targeting global OEMs.

expansion

Slight increase in export business next year

Management expects a slight increase in exports driven by NOx sensors, spark plugs, and injectors.

revenue

Growth beyond industry rates through premiumization and regulation

Company aims to outgrow industry via advanced technologies, new norms, and electrification.

growth