Bajaj Auto / Q1-FY25

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Positive2024-07-18Back to BAJAJAUTO

Revenue

₹11,932 Cr

verified against source

Revenue YoY

16%

reported change

EBITDA

₹2,400 Cr

latest reported figure

Source

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record provenance

Actual signal trajectory

Where this quarter sits.

source records only
EBITDA (₹ Cr)PositiveWatchNegative
12 actual records
Actual quarterly EBITDA (₹ Cr) trajectoryReported values plotted by quarter. Hover or focus a point for its quarter, value, and source sentiment.Q1 FY24: 1,954 · Positive source sentiment · 2023-07-20Q1 FY24Q2 FY24: 2,133 · Positive source sentiment · 2023-10-19Q2 FY24Q3 FY24: 2,430 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-01-18Q3 FY24Q4 FY24: 2,307 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-04-18Q4 FY24Q1 FY25: 2,400 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-07-18Q1 FY25Q2 FY25: 2,653 · Positive source sentiment · 2024-10-17Q2 FY25Q3 FY25: 2,581 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-01-23Q3 FY25Q4 FY25: 2,451 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-05-30Q4 FY25Q1 FY26: 2,482 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-07-22Q1 FY26Q2 FY26: 3,000 · Positive source sentiment · 2025-10-30Q2 FY26Q3 FY26: 3,161 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-01-20Q3 FY26Q4 FY26: 3,323 · Positive source sentiment · 2026-04-28Q4 FY263,3231,954
Values are taken from the available verified source records; sentiment color is a separate source-read indicator.

Quarter read

What the record says.

Bajaj Auto delivered a strong Q1 FY25 with revenue of INR 11,928 crore (+16% YoY) and EBITDA margin of 20.2% (+130bps YoY), marking the third consecutive quarter above 20%. PAT reached INR 1,988 crore, near the INR 2,000 crore milestone. Growth was driven by robust domestic performance (9th consecutive double-digit quarter), export recovery (+16% YoY to $460M), and record spare sales (INR 1,350 crore). Key growth platforms include the CNG bike Freedom 125 (10,000/month capacity, scaling to 40,000 by Q4), Chetak EV expansion (sub-INR 1 lakh model, targeting #2 position), and the new Brazil plant. Management guided for 6-8% industry growth and expects Q2 to be better than Q1. Risk: commodity cost inflation (50-70bps impact) partially mitigated by pricing actions.

Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.

Guidance to track

  • Starting at 10,000 units/month in Q2, capacity will be scaled to 40,000 by Q4, with potential for further increase based on demand.
  • Chetak will expand from 250 stores in June to 500 by end July and nearly 1,000 by September, driving volume growth.
  • Management expects 50-70bps cost inflation from commodities, with pricing actions covering about half of the impact.
  • Bajaj Auto Credit Ltd (BACL) currently covers 50% of stores and is on track to reach full coverage by March 2025.

Risks flagged

  • Rising aluminum and copper prices could impact margins by 50-70bps in Q2; pricing actions only partially offset.
  • Nigeria volumes dropped from 50,000/month benchmark to under 5,000 in April, recovering to only 15,000; Africa sales down 40% YoY.
  • Chetak remains loss-making despite cost reductions; management declined to disclose specific margin, indicating profitability is still distant.
  • Analyst noted lackluster demand in the 250-500cc segment despite multiple launches; management acknowledged the trend but offered no specific mitigation.

Key quotes

  • It has been an outstanding quarter, and I think we beat the street estimates yet again, though by a small margin.
  • There is good reason to entertain the thought that Freedom could redefine the motorcycle industry.
  • We are strongly committed to playing and investing for competitive growth in this space and expanding this business in multiples in the times ahead.

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